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Model 1.1

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Suchitepéquez v Mixco

Suchitepéquez
3–3Full time
Mixco

Liga Nacional · SUN 11 OCT

Not gradedCorrected 16 Oct 17:17

Corrected on 16 Oct: this match was first graded on a score of 3–3. It was played on 11 Oct 17:30, more than three hours after the kick-off we published for, so this prediction is not graded and is not in the record’s figures.

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Suchitepéquez win43%
Draw26%
Mixco win31%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SUN 11 OCT · 00:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Suchitepéquez

Formation not confirmed

– N. Cabrera

– J. Corena

– W. Diaz

– F. Gonzalez

– M. Icute

– F. A. Montano Cardenas

– M. Rivas

– J. Secaida

– V. G. Torres Chavez

– A. Zamorano

– K. Aguilar

Coach · –

Substitutes

– · E. de Leon

– · A. Galindo

– · D. Herrera

– · A. Lezcano

– · C. Madrid

– · A. Mejicanos

– · E. Huguetti

– · F. de Leon

– · C. Artola

Mixco

Formation not confirmed

– Cuero Fabian

– G. Arce

– J. Bolanos

– L. Garcia

– M. Gomez

– C. Jimenez

– R. Marroquin

– K. Moscoso

– Jerry

– J. Sotomayor

– A. Yanes

Coach · Fabricio Benitez

Substitutes

– · E. Garcia

– · J. Marquez

– · D. Mendez

– · M. Moreno

– · M. Padilla

– · K. Rocha

– · J. Urizar

– · E. Zuniga

– · J. Can

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Suchitepéquez

Formation not confirmed

– N. Cabrera

– J. Corena

– W. Diaz

– F. Gonzalez

– M. Icute

– F. A. Montano Cardenas

– M. Rivas

– J. Secaida

– V. G. Torres Chavez

– A. Zamorano

– K. Aguilar

Coach · –

Substitutes

– · E. de Leon

– · A. Galindo

– · D. Herrera

– · A. Lezcano

– · C. Madrid

– · A. Mejicanos

– · E. Huguetti

– · F. de Leon

– · C. Artola

Mixco

Formation not confirmed

– Cuero Fabian

– G. Arce

– J. Bolanos

– L. Garcia

– M. Gomez

– C. Jimenez

– R. Marroquin

– K. Moscoso

– Jerry

– J. Sotomayor

– A. Yanes

Coach · Fabricio Benitez

Substitutes

– · E. Garcia

– · J. Marquez

– · D. Mendez

– · M. Moreno

– · M. Padilla

– · K. Rocha

– · J. Urizar

– · E. Zuniga

– · J. Can

Our number · suchitepéquez winPublished 11 Oct 00:01
43% The market43%
Us43%
Market43%

We make Suchitepéquez a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are within 0 points of the market. The model expects 1.4–1.1.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45% 9 OCT 06:1910 OCT 21:07
Our probability · suchitepéquez win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 42% to 43% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Suchitepéquez win43%43%0
Draw26%28%−2
Mixco win31%29%+2
Over 2.5 goals47%50%−3
Both teams to score51%54%−3
Over 1.5 goals72%72%0
Over 3.5 goals26%30%−4
Suchitepéquez or draw69%71%−2
Suchitepéquez clean sheet32%––
Mixco clean sheet25%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.3%
0123450 7.9 9.0 5.1 1 10.9 12.3 7.0 2.7 2 7.7 8.7 4.9 3 3.7 4.1 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Suchitepéquez down, Mixco across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsMIX 2–0 SUC

Form · last six in Liga Nacional

SUCHITEPÉQUEZ

LDLDLL0–2 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 2–2 · 0–3 · 0–3

MIXCO

LDLWLW1–4 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 3–2 · 0–1 · 3–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Guastatoya12+625
2Municipal11+1124
3Antigua GFC12+422
4Marquense12−219
5Xelajú12+1018
6Deportivo San Pedro12+218
7Mixco11−116
8Comunicaciones12−115
9Cobán Imperial12−313
10Aurora12−412
11Malacateco12−712
12Suchitepéquez12−156

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.