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Municipal v Comunicaciones

Municipal

02:00Upcoming

Comunicaciones

Liga Nacional · THU 29 OCT · Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

MunicipalDrawComunicaciones

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 02:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Municipal 70%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Municipal are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Municipal 70%, draw 20%, Comunicaciones 10%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 38%.

The AI’s read on Municipal v ComunicacionesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Municipal win70%

Draw20%

Comunicaciones win10%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 02:00

RoundMatchday 17

VenueEstadio Manuel Felipe Carrera

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Municipal

Comunicaciones

5Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga Nacional (Guatemala)

Last match: 25 Oct · Liga Nacional (Guatemala)

4Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Municipal	16	+9	27
9	Comunicaciones	16	−3	18

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · municipal winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

70% The market–

Us70%

We make Municipal a 70% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–0.6, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Municipal v Comunicaciones~~1.95 – 0.58

~~Form · last six in Liga Nacional this season · since 27 Sept~~W0 D4 L2 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 27 v 18~~2 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Municipal win	70%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Comunicaciones win	10%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	38%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Municipal or draw	90%	–	–
Municipal clean sheet	56%	–	–
Comunicaciones clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.4%

0123450 8.2 4.6 1 15.4 9.1 2.6 2 14.9 8.7 2.5 3 9.7 5.6 4 4.8 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Municipal down, Comunicaciones across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,420 Liga Nacional matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Nacional matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.7% of games this season, across 91 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Municipal at home: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Comunicaciones away: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.95 goals for Municipal, 0.58 for Comunicaciones. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 10

~~Both scored~~3 of 10

~~Last meetings~~COM 0–1 MUN · MUN 1–0 COM · COM 1–0 MUN · COM 0–0 MUN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Nacional this season · since 27 Sept

MUNICIPAL

DDLDDL1–1 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 0–1

COMUNICACIONES

WWLLLW3–2 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua GFC	16	+7	29
2	Municipal	16	+9	27
3	Guastatoya	16	+2	27
4	Mixco	16	+3	25
5	Xelajú	16	+8	24
6	Marquense	15	−1	24
7	Deportivo San Pedro	15	+1	22
8	Aurora	15	0	21
9	Comunicaciones	16	−3	18
10	Malacateco	15	−5	18
11	Cobán Imperial	15	−5	16
12	Suchitepéquez	15	−16	8