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Deportivo San Pedro v Malacateco
Deportivo San Pedro
MalacatecoLiga Nacional · SUN 25 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Deportivo San Pedro are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Deportivo San Pedro 54%, draw 26%, Malacateco 20%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 44%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Deportivo San Pedro win54%
Malacateco win20%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 21:10
RoundMatchday 16
Match timeline
All events
Deportivo San PedroMIN
MalacatecoEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Deportivo San Pedro
Malacateco
Last match: 18 Oct · Liga Nacional (Guatemala)
Last match: 21 Oct · Liga Nacional (Guatemala)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Deportivo San Pedro a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 55%, 54% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo San Pedro win | 54% | 58% | −4 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 0 |
| Malacateco win | 20% | 17% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 47% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 44% | 48% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 71% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% | 28% | −6 |
| Deportivo San Pedro or draw | 80% | 83% | −3 |
| Deportivo San Pedro clean sheet | 44% | – | – |
| Malacateco clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2026/27Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga Nacional this season · since 20 Sept
DEPORTIVO SAN PEDRO
MALACATECO
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua GFC | 15 | +8 | 29 |
| 2 | Municipal | 16 | +9 | 27 |
| 3 | Guastatoya | 15 | +4 | 27 |
| 4 | Xelajú | 16 | +8 | 24 |
| 5 | Marquense | 15 | −1 | 24 |
| 6 | Mixco | 15 | +1 | 22 |
| 7 | Deportivo San Pedro | 15 | +1 | 22 |
| 8 | Aurora | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 | Malacateco | 15 | −5 | 18 |
| 10 | Cobán Imperial | 15 | −5 | 16 |
| 11 | Comunicaciones | 15 | −4 | 15 |
| 12 | Suchitepéquez | 15 | −16 | 8 |
Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.
Antigua GFC
Municipal
Guastatoya
Xelajú
Marquense
Mixco
Aurora
Cobán Imperial
Comunicaciones
Suchitepéquez