Deportivo San Pedro v Comunicaciones prediction · Liga Nacional

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 00:30

Deportivo San Pedro 2–1 Comunicaciones DEPORTIVO SAN PEDRO WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Deportivo San Pedro win~~51%

~~The market said~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.358

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.465

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 23 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Deportivo San Pedro win at 51%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Deportivo San Pedro 51% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–27–22
1′KICK-OFF Deportivo San Pedro v Comunicaciones
3′Little has changed for our model: Deportivo San Pedro 51% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–27–22
25′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Comunicaciones
32′🟨 YELLOW · 33' Comunicaciones
36′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Deportivo San Pedro
40′⚽ GOAL · 41' Deportivo San Pedro 0–0 Comunicaciones
45′SECOND HALF Deportivo San Pedro 0–1 Comunicaciones
46′⚽ GOAL · 47' Deportivo San Pedro 0–0 Comunicaciones
50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Deportivo San Pedro 0–1 Comunicaciones
58′⚽ GOAL · 60' Deportivo San Pedro 0–1 Comunicaciones
60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Deportivo San Pedro 1–1 Comunicaciones
60′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Comunicaciones · On: J. Osorio · Off: K. Grijalva
61′⚽ GOAL · 60' Deportivo San Pedro 1–1 Comunicaciones
64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Comunicaciones · On: D. Reyes · Off: A. Ortiz
64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Comunicaciones · On: B. Castaneda · Off: A. de la Cruz
65′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Comunicaciones · On: P. M. Dantaz Paredes · Off: O. Duarte
71′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Deportivo San Pedro
73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' E. Garcia · Deportivo San Pedro
78′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Comunicaciones
79′⚽ GOAL · 80' Deportivo San Pedro 1–1 Comunicaciones
81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Deportivo San Pedro 2–1 Comunicaciones · B. Aldana
87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Deportivo San Pedro · On: E. Fuentes · Off: G. Aguila
93′🟨 YELLOW · 94' Comunicaciones
FTFULL TIME Deportivo San Pedro 2–1 Comunicaciones
FTDeportivo San Pedro 2–1 Comunicaciones · Deportivo San Pedro win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Deportivo San Pedro win51%

Draw26%

Comunicaciones win22%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 22:00

Line-ups

Deportivo San Pedro

Comunicaciones

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Deportivo San Pedro

Comunicaciones

7Days since last match6

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Deportivo San Pedro	12	+2	18
8	Comunicaciones	12	−1	15

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Deportivo San Pedro

Formation not confirmed

– G. Aguila

– D. Alvarez

– J. Chacon

– S. Colon

– V. Cruz

– J. Fajardo

– R. Folleco

– R. Gomez

– E. Macal

– Y. A. Moran

– A. Navarro

Coach · –

Substitutes

– · B. Aldana

– · R. Ardon

– · M. Ceballos

– · I. dos Santos

– · E. Fuentes

– · M. Gaitan

– · E. Garcia

– · R. Mendez

– · B. de Leon

Comunicaciones

Formation not confirmed

– D. Bradley

– E. Cruz Martin

– A. de la Cruz

– O. Duarte

– K. Espino

– N. Garcia

– K. Grijalva

– L. N. Olivera Moreira

– A. Ortiz

– F. Perez

– S. Robles

Coach · –

Substitutes

– · S. Camacho

– · B. Castaneda

– · P. M. Dantaz Paredes

– · A. E. Diaz Bran

– · E. Lemus

– · J. Osorio

– · D. Prada

– · D. Reyes

– · D. Santis

Our number · deportivo san pedro winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

51% The market44%

Us51%

~~Market~~44%

We make Deportivo San Pedro a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–0.9.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · deportivo san pedro win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 41% to 44% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Deportivo San Pedro win	51%	44%	+7
Draw	26%	30%	−3
Comunicaciones win	22%	26%	−3
Over 2.5 goals	41%	42%	−1
Both teams to score	44%	48%	−4
Over 1.5 goals	67%	67%	0
Over 3.5 goals	21%	23%	−2
Deportivo San Pedro or draw	78%	74%	+3
Deportivo San Pedro clean sheet	43%	–	–
Comunicaciones clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.4%

0123450 10.1 8.5 3.7 1 14.4 12.1 5.2 2 10.4 8.8 3.8 3 5.2 4.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Deportivo San Pedro down, Comunicaciones across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,401 Liga Nacional matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga Nacional matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.8% of games this season, across 72 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Deportivo San Pedro at home: 2.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Comunicaciones away: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.46 goals for Deportivo San Pedro, 0.86 for Comunicaciones. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~COM 1–0 DEP

Form · last six in Liga Nacional

DEPORTIVO SAN PEDRO

DWDDLL0–0 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 0–2

COMUNICACIONES

DLDLWW1–1 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 3–2 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Guastatoya	12	+6	25
2	Municipal	11	+11	24
3	Antigua GFC	12	+4	22
4	Marquense	12	−2	19
5	Xelajú	13	+9	18
6	Deportivo San Pedro	12	+2	18
7	Mixco	11	−1	16
8	Comunicaciones	12	−1	15
9	Aurora	13	−3	15
10	Cobán Imperial	12	−3	13
11	Malacateco	12	−7	12
12	Suchitepéquez	12	−15	6