Comunicaciones v Antigua GFC prediction · Liga Nacional

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Comunicaciones are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Comunicaciones 47%, draw 25%, Antigua GFC 28%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Comunicaciones v Antigua GFCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Comunicaciones win47%

Draw25%

Antigua GFC win28%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 01:00

RoundMatchday 16

VenueEstadio Doroteo Guamuch Flores

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Comunicaciones

Antigua GFC

4Days since last match5

Last match: 21 Oct · Liga Nacional (Guatemala)

Last match: 20 Oct · Liga Nacional (Guatemala)

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua GFC	15	+8	29
11	Comunicaciones	15	−4	15

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · comunicaciones winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · updated 22 Oct 03:59 · locked at kick-off

47% The market40%

Us47%

~~Market~~40%

We make Comunicaciones a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 7 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Comunicaciones v Antigua GFC~~1.56 – 1.15

~~Form · last six in Liga Nacional this season · since 19 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 15 v 29~~11 v 1

~~The market · Comunicaciones win~~40% · ours 47%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Comunicaciones win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Comunicaciones win	47%	40%	+7
Draw	25%	30%	−5
Antigua GFC win	28%	30%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	51%	45%	+6
Both teams to score	54%	51%	+3
Over 1.5 goals	75%	70%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	29%	25%	+4
Comunicaciones or draw	72%	70%	+2
Comunicaciones clean sheet	32%	–	–
Antigua GFC clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%

0123450 7.0 7.6 4.4 1 10.3 12.0 6.8 2.6 2 8.1 9.1 5.2 2.0 3 4.2 4.8 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Comunicaciones down, Antigua GFC across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,420 Liga Nacional matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga Nacional matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.7% of games this season, across 91 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.90 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Comunicaciones at home: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Antigua GFC away: 1.33 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.56 goals for Comunicaciones, 1.15 for Antigua GFC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.90

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ANT 2–0 COM · COM 2–0 ANT · ANT 3–2 COM · COM 0–1 ANT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Nacional this season · since 19 Sept

COMUNICACIONES

LWWLLL1–2 · 3–2 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–1

ANTIGUA GFC

LLDWDW1–3 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Antigua GFC	15	+8	29
2	Municipal	16	+9	27
3	Guastatoya	15	+4	27
4	Xelajú	16	+8	24
5	Marquense	15	−1	24
6	Mixco	15	+1	22
7	Deportivo San Pedro	15	+1	22
8	Aurora	15	0	21
9	Malacateco	15	−5	18
10	Cobán Imperial	15	−5	16
11	Comunicaciones	15	−4	15
12	Suchitepéquez	15	−16	8