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Model 1.2

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Cobán Imperial v Suchitepéquez

Cobán Imperial
21:00Upcoming
Suchitepéquez

Liga Nacional · WED 28 OCT · Estadio Verapaz

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Cobán ImperialDrawSuchitepéquez
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 21:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Cobán Imperial 70%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Cobán Imperial are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Cobán Imperial 70%, draw 18%, Suchitepéquez 11%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Cobán Imperial v SuchitepéquezBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Cobán Imperial win70%
Draw18%
Suchitepéquez win11%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 21:00

RoundMatchday 17

VenueEstadio Verapaz

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Cobán Imperial

Suchitepéquez

10Days since last match9

Last match: 18 Oct · Liga Nacional (Guatemala)

Last match: 19 Oct · Liga Nacional (Guatemala)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10Cobán Imperial15−516
12Suchitepéquez15−168

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cobán imperial winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
70% The market–
Us70%

We make Cobán Imperial a 70% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Cobán Imperial v Suchitepéquez2.26 – 0.78
Form · last six in Liga Nacional this season · since 20 SeptW3 D1 L2 · W0 D3 L3
Table places · points 16 v 810 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Cobán Imperial win70%––
Draw18%––
Suchitepéquez win11%––
Over 2.5 goals58%––
Both teams to score48%––
Over 1.5 goals80%––
Over 3.5 goals36%––
Cobán Imperial or draw89%––
Cobán Imperial clean sheet46%––
Suchitepéquez clean sheet11%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 12.1%
0123450 5.1 3.7 1 10.8 8.5 3.3 2 12.1 9.3 3.6 3 9.1 7.0 2.7 4 5.2 4.0 5 2.4
under 2% 5% 12%+Cobán Imperial down, Suchitepéquez across0–5 goals a side shown (96.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting5.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsSUC 3–2 COB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga Nacional this season · since 20 Sept

COBÁN IMPERIAL

DWWLWL1–1 · 3–2 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 1–3

SUCHITEPÉQUEZ

DLLDDL2–2 · 0–3 · 0–3 · 3–3 · 1–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Antigua GFC15+829
2Municipal16+927
3Guastatoya15+427
4Xelajú16+824
5Marquense15−124
6Mixco15+122
7Deportivo San Pedro15+122
8Aurora15021
9Malacateco15−518
10Cobán Imperial15−516
11Comunicaciones15−415
12Suchitepéquez15−168

Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.