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Cobán Imperial v Marquense
Cobán ImperialMarquenseLiga Nacional · SUN 25 OCT · Estadio Verapaz
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Cobán Imperial are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Cobán Imperial 61%, draw 24%, Marquense 16%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 42%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Cobán Imperial win61%Marquense win16%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 19:00
RoundMatchday 16
VenueEstadio Verapaz
Match timeline
All events
Cobán ImperialMINMarquenseEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Cobán Imperial
Marquense
Last match: 18 Oct · Liga Nacional (Guatemala)
Last match: 19 Oct · Liga Nacional (Guatemala)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Marquense | 15 | −1 | 24 |
| 10 | Cobán Imperial | 15 | −5 | 16 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Cobán Imperial a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–0.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 60%, 61% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cobán Imperial win | 61% | 58% | +3 |
| Draw | 24% | 24% | 0 |
| Marquense win | 16% | 18% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 54% | −11 |
| Both teams to score | 42% | 52% | −10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 75% | −6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 33% | −10 |
| Cobán Imperial or draw | 84% | 82% | +2 |
| Cobán Imperial clean sheet | 49% | – | – |
| Marquense clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga Nacional this season · since 19 Sept
COBÁN IMPERIAL
MARQUENSE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Antigua GFC | 15 | +8 | 29 |
| 2 |  Municipal | 16 | +9 | 27 |
| 3 |  Guastatoya | 15 | +4 | 27 |
| 4 |  Xelajú | 16 | +8 | 24 |
| 5 | Marquense | 15 | −1 | 24 |
| 6 |  Mixco | 15 | +1 | 22 |
| 7 |  Deportivo San Pedro | 15 | +1 | 22 |
| 8 |  Aurora | 15 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |  Malacateco | 15 | −5 | 18 |
| 10 | Cobán Imperial | 15 | −5 | 16 |
| 11 |  Comunicaciones | 15 | −4 | 15 |
| 12 |  Suchitepéquez | 15 | −16 | 8 |
Based on available league results before kick-off; standings may be incomplete.