Panthrakikos v Olympiakos Piraeus II

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Panthrakikos win at 50%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Panthrakikos was 50% before kick-off and our model makes it 50% now. 0–0 · 50–25–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Panthrakikos v Olympiakos Piraeus II
4. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Panthrakikos win: 50% at kick-off, 40% now
5. 45′We said Panthrakikos at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 38–40–22
6. 45′HALF-TIME Panthrakikos 0–0 Olympiakos Piraeus II
7. 46′SECOND HALF Panthrakikos 0–0 Olympiakos Piraeus II
8. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Panthrakikos win 37%)
9. 54′We said Panthrakikos at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–46–20
10. 55′We expected about 2.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 34–47–20
11. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Panthrakikos win: 50% at kick-off, 30% now
12. 62′Panthrakikos find the net on 61′. 1–0. 1–0 · 82–15–3
13. 62′We published Panthrakikos at 50%. Our model now makes it 82%. 1–0 · 82–15–3
14. 62′⚽ GOAL · 61' Panthrakikos 1–0 Olympiakos Piraeus II
15. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Panthrakikos win: 50% at kick-off, 82% now
16. 62′THE CALL SWINGS · 62' Panthrakikos win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 15%)
17. 68′We published Panthrakikos at 50%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
18. 76′A goal for Panthrakikos on 75′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
19. 76′We published Panthrakikos at 50%. Our model now makes it 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
20. 76′⚽ GOAL · 75' Panthrakikos 2–0 Olympiakos Piraeus II
21. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Panthrakikos win: 50% at kick-off, 99% now
22. 77′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 2–0 · 99–1–0
23. 80′We published Panthrakikos at 50%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
24. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Panthrakikos win: 50% at kick-off, over 99% now
25. 81′Olympiakos Piraeus II score on 81′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 92–8–0
26. 81′We published Panthrakikos at 50%. Our model now makes it 92%. 2–1 · 92–8–0
27. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Panthrakikos 2–1 Olympiakos Piraeus II
28. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Panthrakikos win: 50% at kick-off, 92% now
29. 82′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 93–7–0
30. 83′Olympiakos Piraeus II find the net on 83′. 2–2. 2–2 · 10–83–7
31. 83′We said Panthrakikos at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 10%. 2–2 · 10–83–7
32. 83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Panthrakikos 2–2 Olympiakos Piraeus II
33. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Panthrakikos win: 50% at kick-off, 10% now
34. 83′THE CALL SWINGS · 83' Draw is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Panthrakikos win 10%)
35. 84′We said Panthrakikos at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–85–6
36. 84′4 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 9–85–6
37. 91′We said Panthrakikos at 50%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–93–3
38. FTFULL TIME Panthrakikos 2–2 Olympiakos Piraeus II
39. FTPanthrakikos 2–2 Olympiakos Piraeus II · Panthrakikos win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.