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Panionios v PAOK II

Panionios
3–0Full time
PAOK II

Super League 2 · MON 12 OCT

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 15:31
Panionios 3–0 PAOK II PANIONIOS WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Panionios win57%
The market said64%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.287
The market’s Brier score0.202

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay7 notes · 55 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Panionios win at 57%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Panionios 57% before kick-off, 56% now. 0–0 · 56–27–17
  3. 8′7′ and it is 1–0: Panionios have scored. 1–0 · 83–13–4
  4. 9′We said Panionios at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 1–0 · 83–13–4
  5. 13′7′ and it is 1–0: Panionios have scored. 1–0 · 83–13–4
  6. 15′Panionios find the net on 15′. 2–0. 2–0 · 96–3–1
  7. 16′We said Panionios at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 96%. 2–0 · 96–3–1
  8. 25′Panionios ahead on 14′ through Z. Chatzistravos. 2–0. 2–0 · 97–3–1
  9. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  10. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  11. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  12. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  13. 45′HALF-TIME Panionios 2–0 PAOK II
  14. 45′SECOND HALF Panionios 2–0 PAOK II
  15. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  16. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 47' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  17. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  18. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  19. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  20. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  21. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  22. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 53' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  23. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Panionios 3–0 PAOK II · Z. Chatzistravos
  24. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  25. 54′⚽ GOAL · 55' Panionios 3–0 PAOK II
  26. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  27. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  28. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  29. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  30. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  31. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  32. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  33. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  34. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  35. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  36. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  37. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 66' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  38. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  39. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  40. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  41. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 70' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  42. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 71' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  43. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  44. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  45. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  46. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  47. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  48. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  49. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 78' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  50. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  51. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  52. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  53. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 82' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  54. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  55. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  56. 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 85' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  57. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 86' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  58. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  59. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  60. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  61. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  62. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 91' Panionios win: 57% at kick-off, 83% now
  63. FTFULL TIME Panionios 3–0 PAOK II
  64. FTPanionios 3–0 PAOK II · Panionios win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 12:31 · locked at kick-off

Panionios win57%
Draw26%
PAOK II win18%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 12:45

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Panionios

PAOK II

8Days since last match7
1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Panionios5+210
11PAOK II5−25

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · panionios winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 12:31 · locked at kick-off
57% The market64%
Us57%
Market64%

We make Panionios a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 64%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–0.7.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65%70% 9 OCT 06:1911 OCT 17:27
Our probability · panionios win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has not moved either.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Panionios win57%64%−7
Draw26%23%+3
PAOK II win18%13%+5
Over 2.5 goals36%46%−10
Both teams to score36%42%−5
Over 1.5 goals62%70%−7
Over 3.5 goals17%26%−9
Panionios or draw82%87%−5
Panionios clean sheet52%––
PAOK II clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.6%
0123450 12.0 8.3 2.7 1 17.6 10.7 3.8 2 12.4 8.0 2.8 3 6.2 4.0 4 2.5 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Panionios down, PAOK II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meeting of these two in Super League 2 since 2021 in our records. Only this competition's matches are held here: cup ties and meetings in other leagues are not, and we say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Super League 2

PANIONIOS

WWWDWL3–0 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 0–2

PAOK II

WDLWLD3–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Marko6+718
2Kallithea5+412
3Larisa6+511
4Panserraikos6+310
5Panionios5+210
6Ellas Syros6+59
7Panthrakikos6+18
8Apollon Pontou608
9Niki Volos607
10Asteras Tripolis II6−27
11PAOK II5−25
12Olympiakos Piraeus II5−45
13Pyrgos 19686−45
14Nestos Chrisoupolis6−44
15Zakynthos5−52
16Anagennisi Karditsas5−62

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.