Home › Football › Super League 2 › Olympiakos Piraeus II v Asteras Tripolis II

Olympiakos Piraeus II v Asteras Tripolis II

Olympiakos Piraeus II

1–1Full time

Asteras Tripolis II

Super League 2 · SUN 11 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Olympiakos Piraeus II 1–1 Asteras Tripolis II OLYMPIAKOS PIRAEUS II WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Olympiakos Piraeus II win~~47%

~~The market said~~36%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.883

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.756

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay4 notes · 20 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Olympiakos Piraeus II win at 47%.
1′Much as we predicted: Olympiakos Piraeus II was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–25–29
1′KICK-OFF Olympiakos Piraeus II v Asteras Tripolis II
2′Much as we predicted: Olympiakos Piraeus II was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–25–29
13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Olympiakos Piraeus II 0–1 Asteras Tripolis II
22′A goal for Asteras Tripolis II on 13′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 19–24–57
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Olympiakos Piraeus II win: 47% at kick-off, 19% now
22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Asteras Tripolis II win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Olympiakos Piraeus II win 19%)
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Olympiakos Piraeus II win: 47% at kick-off, 46% now
22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' Olympiakos Piraeus II win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Asteras Tripolis II win 29%)
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Olympiakos Piraeus II win: 47% at kick-off, 46% now
23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Olympiakos Piraeus II win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Asteras Tripolis II win 29%)
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Olympiakos Piraeus II win: 47% at kick-off, 19% now
23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Asteras Tripolis II win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Olympiakos Piraeus II win 19%)
24′A goal for Asteras Tripolis II on 13′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 18–24–58
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Olympiakos Piraeus II win: 47% at kick-off, 19% now
24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Asteras Tripolis II win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Olympiakos Piraeus II win 19%)
44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Olympiakos Piraeus II win: 47% at kick-off, 19% now
44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Asteras Tripolis II win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Olympiakos Piraeus II win 19%)
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Olympiakos Piraeus II win: 47% at kick-off, 19% now
45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Asteras Tripolis II win is now our likeliest result at 57% (was Olympiakos Piraeus II win 19%)
45′HALF-TIME Olympiakos Piraeus II 0–1 Asteras Tripolis II
46′SECOND HALF Olympiakos Piraeus II 0–1 Asteras Tripolis II
47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Olympiakos Piraeus II 1–1 Asteras Tripolis II
FTFULL TIME Olympiakos Piraeus II 1–1 Asteras Tripolis II
FTOlympiakos Piraeus II 1–1 Asteras Tripolis II · Olympiakos Piraeus II win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Olympiakos Piraeus II win47%

Draw24%

Asteras Tripolis II win30%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 16:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Olympiakos Piraeus II

Asteras Tripolis II

14Days since last match7

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Asteras Tripolis II	5	−2	6
13	Olympiakos Piraeus II	4	−4	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · olympiakos piraeus ii winPublished 11 Oct 16:05

47% The market36%

Us47%

~~Market~~36%

We make Olympiakos Piraeus II a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 10 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.2.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · olympiakos piraeus ii win The market, margin stripped

Published at 46%, 47% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Olympiakos Piraeus II win	47%	36%	+10
Draw	24%	29%	−5
Asteras Tripolis II win	30%	35%	−5
Over 2.5 goals	52%	44%	+8
Both teams to score	54%	50%	+4
Over 1.5 goals	75%	68%	+7
Over 3.5 goals	31%	24%	+6
Olympiakos Piraeus II or draw	70%	65%	+5
Olympiakos Piraeus II clean sheet	31%	–	–
Asteras Tripolis II clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 6.5 8.0 4.5 1 10.3 11.0 6.7 2.7 2 7.7 8.7 5.1 2.1 3 4.1 4.7 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Olympiakos Piraeus II down, Asteras Tripolis II across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,872 Super League 2 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Super League 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 36.6% of games this season, across 41 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Olympiakos Piraeus II at home: 1.17 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Asteras Tripolis II away: 0.33 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.59 goals for Olympiakos Piraeus II, 1.20 for Asteras Tripolis II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Super League 2

OLYMPIAKOS PIRAEUS II

LLDWLL0–1 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 2–4 · 1–4

ASTERAS TRIPOLIS II

LLLWLW0–3 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Marko	5	+6	15
2	Kallithea	5	+4	12
3	Larisa	5	+6	11
4	Panserraikos	6	+3	10
5	Panionios	5	+2	10
6	Ellas Syros	5	+6	9
7	Panthrakikos	6	+1	8
8	Asteras Tripolis II	5	−2	6
9	Apollon Pontou	5	−1	5
10	PAOK II	5	−2	5
11	Pyrgos 1968	5	−3	5
12	Niki Volos	5	−1	4
13	Olympiakos Piraeus II	4	−4	4
14	Nestos Chrisoupolis	6	−4	4
15	Zakynthos	5	−5	2
16	Anagennisi Karditsas	5	−6	2