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Marko v Larisa
MarkoLarisaSuper League 2 · SUN 11 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Larisa win at 38%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Larisa 38% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 34–29–37
- 1′KICK-OFF Marko v Larisa
- 5′Little has changed for our model: Larisa 38% before kick-off, 37% now. 0–0 · 34–29–37
- 45′HALF-TIME Marko 0–0 Larisa
- 46′SECOND HALF Marko 0–0 Larisa
- 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Marko 1–0 Larisa
- FTFULL TIME Marko 1–0 Larisa
- FTMarko 1–0 Larisa · Larisa win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.
The model’s prediction on this page stays free.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Marko win35%Larisa win38%Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 12:45
Match timeline
All events
MarkoMINLarisaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · this competition
Marko
Larisa
Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marko | 5 | +6 | 15 |
| 3 | Larisa | 5 | +6 | 11 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Larisa a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.2.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 30% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marko win | 35% | 40% | −5 |
| Draw | 27% | 30% | −2 |
| Larisa win | 38% | 30% | +8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 42% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 45% | 49% | −4 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% | 67% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 23% | −2 |
| Marko or draw | 62% | 70% | −8 |
| Marko clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| Larisa clean sheet | 34% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.
Form · last six in Super League 2
MARKO
LARISA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marko | 5 | +6 | 15 |
| 2 |  Kallithea | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 | Larisa | 5 | +6 | 11 |
| 4 |  Panserraikos | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 |  Panionios | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 |  Ellas Syros | 5 | +6 | 9 |
| 7 |  Panthrakikos | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 8 |  Asteras Tripolis II | 5 | −2 | 6 |
| 9 |  Apollon Pontou | 5 | −1 | 5 |
| 10 |  PAOK II | 5 | −2 | 5 |
| 11 |  Pyrgos 1968 | 5 | −3 | 5 |
| 12 |  Niki Volos | 5 | −1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Olympiakos Piraeus II | 4 | −4 | 4 |
| 14 |  Nestos Chrisoupolis | 6 | −4 | 4 |
| 15 |  Zakynthos | 5 | −5 | 2 |
| 16 |  Anagennisi Karditsas | 5 | −6 | 2 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.