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Apollon Pontou v Niki Volos
Apollon PontouNiki VolosSuper League 2 · SAT 24 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Niki Volos win at 48%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Niki Volos was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 25–27–48
- 1′KICK-OFF Apollon Pontou v Niki Volos
- 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Niki Volos win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
- 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Niki Volos win 40%)
- 45′We said Niki Volos at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 0–0 · 20–43–36
- 45′HALF-TIME Apollon Pontou 0–0 Niki Volos
- 46′SECOND HALF Apollon Pontou 0–0 Niki Volos
- 50′We said Niki Volos at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 19–47–34
- 59′A goal for Niki Volos on 58′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 2–15–83
- 59′We published Niki Volos at 48%. Our model now makes it 83%. 0–1 · 2–15–83
- 59′⚽ GOAL · 58' Apollon Pontou 0–1 Niki Volos
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Niki Volos win: 48% at kick-off, 83% now
- 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Niki Volos win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Draw 53%)
- 64′We published Niki Volos at 48%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 2–14–85
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' Niki Volos win: 48% at kick-off, 88% now
- 76′We published Niki Volos at 48%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
- 80′Niki Volos score on 79′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- 80′We published Niki Volos at 48%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- 80′⚽ GOAL · 79' Apollon Pontou 0–2 Niki Volos
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Niki Volos win: 48% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 81′Goals are coming at about the 2.2 we expected. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Apollon Pontou 0–2 Niki Volos
- FTApollon Pontou 0–2 Niki Volos · Niki Volos win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Niki Volos are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Apollon Pontou 25%, draw 27%, Niki Volos 48%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 40%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Apollon Pontou win25%Niki Volos win48%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 8
Match timeline
All events
Apollon PontouMINNiki VolosEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Apollon Pontou
Niki Volos
Last match: 19 Oct · Super League 2
Last match: 19 Oct · Super League 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Niki Volos | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Apollon Pontou | 7 | −1 | 8 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Niki Volos a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are 18 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.8–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apollon Pontou win | 25% | 13% | +12 |
| Draw | 27% | 21% | +6 |
| Niki Volos win | 48% | 66% | −18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 51% | −14 |
| Both teams to score | 40% | 46% | −6 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 74% | −11 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 31% | −12 |
| Apollon Pontou or draw | 52% | 34% | +18 |
| Apollon Pontou clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
| Niki Volos clean sheet | 44% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
6 meetings since 2019/20Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Super League 2 this season · since 13 Sept
APOLLON PONTOU
NIKI VOLOS
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Marko | 7 | +7 | 19 |
| 2 |  Kallithea | 7 | +5 | 16 |
| 3 |  Panionios | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 |  Larisa | 7 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 |  Panserraikos | 7 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Ellas Syros | 7 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |  Panthrakikos | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 8 | Niki Volos | 7 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Apollon Pontou | 7 | −1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Anagennisi Karditsas | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Asteras Tripolis II | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 12 |  PAOK II | 7 | −4 | 8 |
| 13 |  Olympiakos Piraeus II | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 14 |  Nestos Chrisoupolis | 7 | −4 | 5 |
| 15 |  Pyrgos 1968 | 7 | −5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Zakynthos | 7 | −8 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.