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Anagennisi Karditsas v Zakynthos

Anagennisi Karditsas

3–0Full time

Zakynthos

Super League 2 · MON 12 OCT · Stadio Karditsas

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 15:31

Anagennisi Karditsas 3–0 Zakynthos ANAGENNISI KARDITSAS WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Anagennisi Karditsas win~~54%

~~The market said~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.314

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.495

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Anagennisi Karditsas win at 54%.
1′Much as we predicted: Anagennisi Karditsas was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 55% now. 0–0 · 55–27–18
1′KICK-OFF Anagennisi Karditsas v Zakynthos
2′Much as we predicted: Anagennisi Karditsas was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 55% now. 0–0 · 55–28–18
45′SECOND HALF Anagennisi Karditsas 0–0 Zakynthos
46′HALF-TIME Anagennisi Karditsas 0–0 Zakynthos
47′⚽ GOAL · 47' Anagennisi Karditsas 1–0 Zakynthos
47′⚽ GOAL · 48' Anagennisi Karditsas 1–0 Zakynthos
83′⚽ GOAL · 83' Anagennisi Karditsas 2–0 Zakynthos · K. Anagennisi
83′⚽ GOAL · 84' Anagennisi Karditsas 2–0 Zakynthos
90′⚽ GOAL · 94' Anagennisi Karditsas 2–0 Zakynthos
FTFULL TIME Anagennisi Karditsas 3–0 Zakynthos
FTAnagennisi Karditsas 3–0 Zakynthos · Anagennisi Karditsas win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 12:31 · locked at kick-off

Anagennisi Karditsas win54%

Draw27%

Zakynthos win19%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 13:00

VenueStadio Karditsas

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Anagennisi Karditsas

Zakynthos

8Days since last match7

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	Zakynthos	5	−5	2
16	Anagennisi Karditsas	5	−6	2

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · anagennisi karditsas winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 12:31 · locked at kick-off

54% The market43%

Us54%

~~Market~~43%

We make Anagennisi Karditsas a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–0.7.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · anagennisi karditsas win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 43% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Anagennisi Karditsas win	54%	43%	+12
Draw	27%	29%	−2
Zakynthos win	19%	29%	−10
Over 2.5 goals	35%	50%	−15
Both teams to score	35%	54%	−19
Over 1.5 goals	60%	74%	−14
Over 3.5 goals	17%	31%	−15
Anagennisi Karditsas or draw	81%	71%	+10
Anagennisi Karditsas clean sheet	52%	–	–
Zakynthos clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.8%

0123450 13.1 9.0 3.0 1 17.8 10.6 3.9 2 11.9 7.5 2.6 3 5.8 3.6 4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Anagennisi Karditsas down, Zakynthos across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,876 Super League 2 matches up to 12 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Super League 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 33.3% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Anagennisi Karditsas at home: 1.00 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Zakynthos away: 0.33 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.42 goals for Anagennisi Karditsas, 0.67 for Zakynthos. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No meeting of these two in Super League 2 since 2021 in our records. Only this competition's matches are held here: cup ties and meetings in other leagues are not, and we say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Super League 2

ANAGENNISI KARDITSAS

LDLDLL1–3 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 0–2

ZAKYNTHOS

LDLLLD1–5 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–4 · 0–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Marko	6	+7	18
2	Kallithea	5	+4	12
3	Larisa	6	+5	11
4	Panserraikos	6	+3	10
5	Panionios	5	+2	10
6	Ellas Syros	6	+5	9
7	Panthrakikos	6	+1	8
8	Apollon Pontou	6	0	8
9	Niki Volos	6	0	7
10	Asteras Tripolis II	6	−2	7
11	PAOK II	5	−2	5
12	Olympiakos Piraeus II	5	−4	5
13	Pyrgos 1968	6	−4	5
14	Nestos Chrisoupolis	6	−4	4
15	Zakynthos	5	−5	2
16	Anagennisi Karditsas	5	−6	2