Anagennisi Karditsas v PAOK II prediction · Super League 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Anagennisi KarditsasDrawPAOK II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Anagennisi Karditsas 47%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Anagennisi Karditsas are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Anagennisi Karditsas 47%, draw 28%, PAOK II 25%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 40%.

The AI’s read on Anagennisi Karditsas v PAOK IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Anagennisi Karditsas win47%

Draw28%

PAOK II win25%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Anagennisi Karditsas

PAOK II

7Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Super League 2

Last match: 19 Oct · Super League 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Anagennisi Karditsas	7	−2	8
13	PAOK II	7	−4	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · anagennisi karditsas winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

47% The market54%

Us47%

~~Market~~54%

We make Anagennisi Karditsas a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–0.8.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Anagennisi Karditsas v PAOK II~~1.29 – 0.84

~~Form · last six in Super League 2 this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 8 v 8~~9 v 13

~~The market · Anagennisi Karditsas win~~54% · ours 47%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Anagennisi Karditsas win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Anagennisi Karditsas win	47%	54%	−7
Draw	28%	27%	+1
PAOK II win	25%	19%	+6
Over 2.5 goals	36%	43%	−7
Both teams to score	40%	45%	−5
Over 1.5 goals	62%	67%	−5
Over 3.5 goals	17%	24%	−7
Anagennisi Karditsas or draw	75%	81%	−6
Anagennisi Karditsas clean sheet	44%	–	–
PAOK II clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.5%

0123450 12.4 10.4 4.3 1 15.5 12.1 5.2 2 9.7 7.8 3.3 3 4.3 3.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Anagennisi Karditsas down, PAOK II across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,891 Super League 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super League 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 35.0% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.60 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Anagennisi Karditsas at home: 1.00 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). PAOK II away: 0.67 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.29 goals for Anagennisi Karditsas, 0.84 for PAOK II. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.60

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ANA 2–1 PAO · PAO 0–1 ANA · ANA 2–4 PAO · PAO 2–0 ANA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super League 2 this season · since 13 Sept

ANAGENNISI KARDITSAS

LDLLWW0–3 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 0–2 · 3–0 · 1–0

PAOK II

LWLDLW0–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 0–3 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Marko	7	+7	19
2	Kallithea	8	+5	17
3	Panionios	7	+5	14
4	Panserraikos	8	+4	14
5	Larisa	8	+5	13
6	Niki Volos	8	+2	11
7	Ellas Syros	8	+4	10
8	Panthrakikos	7	+1	9
9	Anagennisi Karditsas	7	−2	8
10	Asteras Tripolis II	7	−2	8
11	Nestos Chrisoupolis	8	−3	8
12	Apollon Pontou	8	−3	8
13	PAOK II	7	−4	8
14	Olympiakos Piraeus II	8	−6	6
15	Pyrgos 1968	7	−5	5
16	Zakynthos	7	−8	3