PAOK v Iraklis 1908

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said PAOK win at 67%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: PAOK 67% before kick-off, 67% now. 0–0 · 67–21–12
3. 1′KICK-OFF PAOK v Iraklis 1908
4. 8′🟨 YELLOW · 7' Dimitrios Giannoulis · PAOK
5. 21′🟨 YELLOW · 21' Carles Soria · Iraklis 1908
6. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' PAOK win: 67% at kick-off, 57% now
7. 40′We said PAOK at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 55%. 0–0 · 55–32–13
8. 41′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Andrija Živković · PAOK
9. 42′We said PAOK at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 54–33–13
10. 45′HALF-TIME PAOK 0–0 Iraklis 1908
11. 45′SECOND HALF PAOK 0–0 Iraklis 1908
12. 50′Iraklis 1908 ahead on 49′ through Pedro Marques. 0–1. 0–1 · 20–30–50
13. 50′⚽ GOAL · 49' PAOK 0–1 Iraklis 1908 · Pedro Marques (assist Carles Soria)
14. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' PAOK win: 67% at kick-off, 20% now
15. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Iraklis 1908 win is now our likeliest result at 50% (was PAOK win 20%)
16. 51′We said PAOK at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 20%. 0–1 · 20–30–51
17. 52′We said PAOK at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–30–51
18. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 53' PAOK · On: Simon Banza · Off: Kristijan Jakić
19. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.0 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 53–34–13 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
20. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' PAOK win: 67% at kick-off, 17% now
21. 59′We said PAOK at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–29–56
22. 60′58′: Pedro Marques on the scoresheet for Iraklis 1908. 0–1 · 14–29–57
23. 63′62′: Simon Banza on the scoresheet for PAOK. 0–1 · 12–28–60
24. 64′We said PAOK at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–49–11
25. 64′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 1–1 · 39–49–11
26. 64′⚽ GOAL · 62' PAOK 1–1 Iraklis 1908 · Simon Banza (assist Andrija Živković)
27. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' PAOK win: 67% at kick-off, 39% now
28. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Iraklis 1908 win 11%)
29. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 63' PAOK · On: Tom Louchet · Off: Ognjen ugresic
30. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Tom Louchet · PAOK
31. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 63' PAOK · On: Abdul Rahman Baba · Off: Dimitrios Giannoulis
32. 69′PAOK have had 13 attempts to 7 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 35–55–10
33. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Vassilis Sourlis · Iraklis 1908
34. 70′We said PAOK at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–56–10
35. 72′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Yohan Roche · Iraklis 1908
36. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Iraklis 1908 · On: Xande Silva · Off: Ivi López
37. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Iraklis 1908 · On: Marco Krainz · Off: Vassilis Sourlis
38. 74′We said PAOK at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–62–9
39. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' PAOK win: 67% at kick-off, 27% now
40. 76′16 shots for PAOK, 7 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 26–66–8
41. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Nemanja Radoja · Iraklis 1908
42. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' PAOK win: 67% at kick-off, 17% now
43. 85′Nanu scores for Iraklis 1908 on 84′. 1–1 · 12–84–4
44. 88′We said PAOK at 67%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–88–3
45. 90′🟥 RED CARD · 90' Iraklis 1908
46. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' PAOK win: 67% at kick-off, 7% now
47. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90+9' Marco Krainz · Iraklis 1908
48. 91′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90' Nanu · Iraklis 1908
49. 92′Iraklis 1908 are down to ten from 90′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 5–94–2
50. 93′Giannis Michailidis scores for PAOK on 90′. 1–1 · 4–95–1
51. 93′We said PAOK at 67% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 2–1 · 99–1–0
52. 93′3 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 99–1–0
53. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' PAOK 2–1 Iraklis 1908 · Giannis Michailidis
54. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' PAOK win: 67% at kick-off, 99% now
55. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' PAOK win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 1%)
56. 96′SUBSTITUTION · 90+5' Iraklis 1908 · On: Kristian Kushta · Off: Carles Soria
57. 96′SUBSTITUTION · 90+5' PAOK · On: Mady Camara · Off: Taison Barcellos Freda
58. 96′SUBSTITUTION · 90+5' PAOK · On: Baptiste Santamaria · Off: Christos Zafeiris Corrected
59. 98′SUBSTITUTION · 90+5' Iraklis 1908 · On: Sofian Chakla · Off: Nemanja Radoja
60. 98′SUBSTITUTION · 90+5' PAOK · On: Baptiste Santamaria · Off: Cherif Ndiaye
61. 99′SUBSTITUTION · 90+8' Iraklis 1908 · On: Adam Žulevič · Off: Praxitelis Vouros
62. FTFULL TIME PAOK 2–1 Iraklis 1908
63. FTPAOK 2–1 Iraklis 1908 · PAOK win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.