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Olympiakos Piraeus v Kalamata
Olympiakos PiraeusKalamataSuper League 1 · SUN 25 OCT · Karaiskakis Stadium
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Olympiakos Piraeus are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Olympiakos Piraeus 70%, draw 21%, Kalamata 10%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 44%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Olympiakos Piraeus win70%Kalamata win10%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 8
VenueKaraiskakis Stadium
RefereeZampalas, Spyros
Match timeline
All events
Olympiakos PiraeusMINKalamataEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Olympiakos Piraeus
Kalamata
Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa League
Last match: 18 Oct · Super League 1
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 7 | +5 | 16 |
| 7 | Kalamata | 7 | +1 | 10 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Olympiakos Piraeus a 70% chance to win. The market has them at 84%. We are 14 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–0.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 69%, 70% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 84% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olympiakos Piraeus win | 70% | 84% | −14 |
| Draw | 21% | 12% | +9 |
| Kalamata win | 10% | 5% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 61% | −8 |
| Both teams to score | 44% | 34% | +10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 82% | −4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | 41% | −9 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus or draw | 90% | 95% | −5 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheet | 51% | – | – |
| Kalamata clean sheet | 12% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Super League 1 this season · since 29 Aug
OLYMPIAKOS PIRAEUS
KALAMATA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 7 | +13 | 18 |
| 2 |  AEK Athens FC | 7 | +18 | 17 |
| 3 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 7 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 |  PAOK | 7 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 7 | −3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Kifisia | 8 | −1 | 11 |
| 7 | Kalamata | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 |  OFI | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Iraklis 1908 | 8 | −2 | 9 |
| 10 |  Panetolikos | 8 | −8 | 9 |
| 11 |  Asteras Tripolis | 8 | −8 | 6 |
| 12 |  Levadiakos | 8 | −11 | 3 |
| 13 |  Atromitos | 6 | −4 | 2 |
| 14 |  Volos NFC | 7 | −6 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.