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Model 1.2

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Levadiakos v Volos NFC

Levadiakos
0–0Full time
Volos NFC

Super League 1 · SAT 17 OCT · Levadia Municipal Stadium

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10
Levadiakos 0–0 Volos NFC LEVADIAKOS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Levadiakos win57%
The market said43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.941
The market’s Brier score0.788

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay19 notes · 35 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Levadiakos win at 57%.
  2. 3′Much as we predicted: Levadiakos was 57% before kick-off and our model makes it 57% now. 0–0 · 57–24–19
  3. 3′KICK-OFF Levadiakos v Volos NFC
  4. 7′Much as we predicted: Levadiakos was 57% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–25–19
  5. 15′🟨 YELLOW · 14' Volos NFC
  6. 18′🟨 YELLOW · 17' Mohamed Ndiaye · Levadiakos
  7. 26′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Keidi Bare · Volos NFC
  8. 29′A red card for Volos NFC on 28′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 51–29–20
  9. 29′🟥 RED CARD · 28' Keidi Bare · Volos NFC
  10. 34′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Jonathan Panzo · Levadiakos
  11. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Levadiakos win: 57% at kick-off, 47% now
  12. 45′We said Levadiakos at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 45%. 0–0 · 45–36–19
  13. 45′We published Levadiakos at 57%. Our model now makes it 81%. 1–0 · 81–15–5
  14. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Levadiakos 1–0 Volos NFC
  15. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Levadiakos win: 57% at kick-off, 81% now
  16. 45′HALF-TIME Levadiakos 0–0 Volos NFC
  17. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Levadiakos · On: Ognjen Ožegović · Off: Dimitrios Emmanouilidis
  18. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Levadiakos · On: Mohamed Elneny · Off: Mohamed Ndiaye
  19. 46′Levadiakos ahead on 44′ through Agustin Urzi. 1–0. 1–0 · 81–15–4
  20. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 38' Volos NFC · On: Vasileios Grosdis · Off: Jan Hurtado
  21. 46′SECOND HALF Levadiakos 0–0 Volos NFC
  22. 48′We said Levadiakos at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–37–19
  23. 48′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45+3' Levadiakos
  24. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+3' Levadiakos win: 57% at kick-off, 44% now
  25. 55′We expected about 3.1 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 40–42–18
  26. 57′We said Levadiakos at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–43–18
  27. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Levadiakos · On: Marios Vichos · Off: Alexandru Grigoraş Pantea
  28. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Levadiakos win 39%)
  29. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Levadiakos win: 57% at kick-off, 37% now
  30. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Volos NFC · On: Eleftherios Tasiouras · Off: Stefanos Katsikas
  31. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Volos NFC · On: Lazaros Lamprou · Off: Rémy Cabella
  32. 64′We said Levadiakos at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–49–16
  33. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Volos NFC · On: Giorgos Charalampoglou · Off: Matías Nahuel González
  34. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Volos NFC · On: Quentin Lecoeuche · Off: Hamza Mendyl
  35. 70′We said Levadiakos at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–56–14
  36. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Levadiakos win: 57% at kick-off, 27% now
  37. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Levadiakos · On: Mahamadou Balde · Off: Konstantinos Goumas
  38. 76′We said Levadiakos at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 23–65–12
  39. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Quentin Lecoeuche · Volos NFC
  40. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Mohamed Elneny · Levadiakos
  41. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 76' Lazaros Lamprou · Volos NFC
  42. 78′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Giannis Kargas · Volos NFC
  43. 79′We said Levadiakos at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–71–10
  44. 81′9 shots for Levadiakos, 4 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 16–75–8
  45. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Levadiakos win: 57% at kick-off, 16% now
  46. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Levadiakos · On: Juan Bauza · Off: Agustin Urzi
  47. 83′We said Levadiakos at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–80–7
  48. 85′🟥 RED CARD · 84' Mohamed Elneny · Levadiakos
  49. 86′Red cards for both sides: Levadiakos down to ten, Volos NFC to ten. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 10–85–5
  50. 87′We said Levadiakos at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–86–5
  51. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Levadiakos win: 57% at kick-off, 7% now
  52. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Eleftherios Tasiouras · Volos NFC
  53. 92′We said Levadiakos at 57%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–2
  54. 92′Levadiakos have had 12 attempts to 4 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 4–94–2
  55. FTFULL TIME Levadiakos 0–0 Volos NFC
  56. FTLevadiakos 0–0 Volos NFC · Levadiakos win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Levadiakos are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Levadiakos 57%, draw 24%, Volos NFC 19%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Levadiakos v Volos NFCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Levadiakos win57%
Draw24%
Volos NFC win19%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 7

VenueLevadia Municipal Stadium

RefereeAnastasios Papapetrou

Line-ups

Levadiakos

4-2-3-1

Volos NFC

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Levadiakos

Volos NFC

6Days since last match6

Last match: 11 Oct · Super League 1

Last match: 11 Oct · Super League 1

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
13Levadiakos6−111
14Volos NFC6−6–

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Levadiakos

4-2-3-1

55 N. Eliasi

14 G. Manthatis

24 P. Liagas

4 Jonathan Panzo

2 A. Pantea

66 M. Ndiaye

18 I. Kosti

11 A. Urzi

20 K. Goumas

30 Octavian Popescu

17 D. Emmanouilidis

Coach · I. Charalambous

Substitutes

3 · M. Vichos

27 · G. Rodríguez

9 · O. Ožegović

33 · Lucas Anacker

8 · G. Nikas

22 · M. Filon

77 · G. Vrakas

15 · A. Șut

37 · I. Tsivelekidis

6 · Mohamed Elneny

7 · Juan Francisco Bauza

21 · M. Balde

Volos NFC

4-2-3-1

1 M. Siampanis

28 S. Katsikas

99 D. Agyakwa

4 G. Kargas

37 H. Mendyl

8 M. Comba

88 K. Bare

20 Xesc Regis

21 M. González

5 R. Cabella

9 Jan Hurtado

Coach · K. Bratsos

Substitutes

27 · D. Burnić

49 · G. Charalampoglou

17 · V. Grosdis

7 · L. Lamprou

13 · Q. Lecoeuche

72 · E. Tasiouras

89 · F. Refatllari

18 · R. Pierre-Gabriel

82 · Athanasios Papathanasiou Gerofokoas

24 · K. Lykourinos

Our number · levadiakos winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 04:02 · locked at kick-off
57% The market43%
Us57%
Market43%

We make Levadiakos a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are 14 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.0–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Levadiakos v Volos NFC1.99 – 1.07
Form · Super League 1 this season · since 23 AugW0 D1 L5 · W0 D2 L4
Table places13 v 14
The market · Levadiakos win43% · ours 57%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55%60% 11 OCT 04:0317 OCT 14:08
Our probability · Levadiakos win The market, margin stripped

Published at 58%, 57% now. The market has gone from 45% to 43% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Levadiakos win57%43%+14
Draw24%28%−4
Volos NFC win19%29%−10
Over 2.5 goals59%47%+12
Both teams to score57%52%+5
Over 1.5 goals82%71%+11
Over 3.5 goals37%27%+10
Levadiakos or draw81%71%+10
Levadiakos clean sheet35%––
Volos NFC clean sheet14%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%
0123450 6.1 4.0 2.8 1 8.2 11.1 5.3 2 9.2 9.7 5.2 3 6.1 6.4 3.4 4 3.1 3.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Levadiakos down, Volos NFC across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting3.70
Over 2.59 of 10
Both scored7 of 10
Last meetingsVOL 0–3 LEV · LEV 5–2 VOL · LEV 3–1 VOL · VOL 1–2 LEV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Super League 1 this season · since 23 Aug

LEVADIAKOS

LLLDLL0–4 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 0–2

VOLOS NFC

LDDLLL0–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 2–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Panathinaikos6+915
2AEK Athens FC6+1314
3Olympiakos Piraeus6+313
4PAOK6+512
5Aris Thessalonikis6−410
6OFI6+110
7Iraklis 1908609
8Panetolikos6−19
9Kifisia6−18
10Kalamata607
11Asteras Tripolis6−45
12Atromitos6−42
13Levadiakos6−111
14Volos NFC6−6–

The competition's standings before kick-off.