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Model 1.2

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Kifisia v Olympiakos Piraeus

Kifisia
17:00Upcoming
Olympiakos Piraeus

Super League 1 · SAT 31 OCT · Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

KifisiaDrawOlympiakos Piraeus
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Olympiakos Piraeus 60%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Olympiakos Piraeus are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kifisia 14%, draw 26%, Olympiakos Piraeus 60%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 42%.

The AI’s read on Kifisia v Olympiakos PiraeusBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Kifisia win14%
Draw26%
Olympiakos Piraeus win60%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 9

VenueApostolos Nikolaidis Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kifisia

Olympiakos Piraeus

7Days since last match9

Last match: 24 Oct · Super League 1

Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Olympiakos Piraeus7+516
6Kifisia8−111

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · olympiakos piraeus winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off
60% The market66%
Us60%
Market66%

We make Olympiakos Piraeus a 60% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.7–1.7.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Kifisia v Olympiakos Piraeus0.70 – 1.71
Form · last six in Super League 1 this season · since 30 AugW3 D1 L2 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 11 v 166 v 3
The market · Olympiakos Piraeus win66% · ours 60%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65%70% 25 OCT 01:4525 OCT 07:09
Our probability · Olympiakos Piraeus win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Kifisia win14%12%+2
Draw26%22%+4
Olympiakos Piraeus win60%66%−6
Over 2.5 goals43%49%−6
Both teams to score42%43%−1
Over 1.5 goals70%72%−2
Over 3.5 goals22%28%−6
Kifisia or draw40%34%+6
Kifisia clean sheet19%––
Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheet50%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 13.9%
0123450 10.7 13.9 12.9 7.4 3.3 1 5.0 12.0 8.9 5.0 2.2 2 2.3 3.8 3.1 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Kifisia down, Olympiakos Piraeus across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting3.75
Over 2.53 of 4
Both scored3 of 4
Last meetingsOLY 1–1 KIF · KIF 1–3 OLY · KIF 2–3 OLY · OLY 4–0 KIF

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super League 1 this season · since 30 Aug

KIFISIA

LDWWLW1–3 · 0–0 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 3–2

OLYMPIAKOS PIRAEUS

WDLWWW1–0 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Panathinaikos7+1318
2AEK Athens FC7+1817
3Olympiakos Piraeus7+516
4PAOK7+615
5Aris Thessalonikis7−313
6Kifisia8−111
7Kalamata7+110
8OFI7010
9Iraklis 19088−29
10Panetolikos8−89
11Asteras Tripolis8−86
12Levadiakos8−113
13Atromitos6−42
14Volos NFC7−60

The competition's standings before kick-off.