Home › Football › Super League 1 › Atromitos v AEK Athens FC
Back
Atromitos v AEK Athens FC
AtromitosAEK Athens FCSuper League 1 · SAT 17 OCT · Peristeri Stadium
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassAEK Athens FC are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Atromitos 18%, draw 27%, AEK Athens FC 55%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 47%.
Pre-match prediction
Published 15 Oct 03:01 · postponed, not graded
Atromitos win18%AEK Athens FC win55%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 17:30
VenuePeristeri Stadium
Match timeline
All events
AtromitosMINAEK Athens FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Atromitos
AEK Athens FC
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions of these teams
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | AEK Athens FC | 6 | 13 | 14 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | -4 | 2 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make AEK Athens FC a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are 11 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.8–1.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 65% to 66% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atromitos win | 18% | 12% | +6 |
| Draw | 27% | 21% | +6 |
| AEK Athens FC win | 55% | 66% | −11 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 53% | −7 |
| Both teams to score | 47% | 47% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 75% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 32% | −8 |
| Atromitos or draw | 45% | 34% | +11 |
| Atromitos clean sheet | 19% | – | – |
| AEK Athens FC clean sheet | 44% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
10 meetings since 2021Form · last six in Super League 1
ATROMITOS
AEK ATHENS FC
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | AEK Athens FC | 6 | 13 | 14 |
| 3 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 6 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 |  PAOK | 6 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 |  Aris Thessalonikis | 6 | -4 | 10 |
| 6 |  OFI | 6 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Iraklis 1908 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Panetolikos | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Kifisia | 6 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Kalamata | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Asteras Tripolis | 6 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | -4 | 2 |
| 13 |  Levadiakos | 6 | -11 | 1 |
| 14 |  Volos NFC | 6 | -6 | – |
The competition's standings.