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Asteras Tripolis v Levadiakos
Asteras Tripolis
LevadiakosSuper League 1 · SAT 24 OCT · Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Levadiakos win at 38%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Levadiakos was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 33–29–38
- 1′KICK-OFF Asteras Tripolis v Levadiakos
- 14′🟨 YELLOW · 12' Giannis Tsivelekidis · Levadiakos
- 31′🟨 YELLOW · 16' Ognjen Ožegović · Levadiakos
- 31′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Octavian Popescu · Levadiakos
- 33′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Dimitrios Laskaris · Asteras Tripolis
- 39′THE CALL SWINGS · 39' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Levadiakos win 35%)
- 45′SECOND HALF Asteras Tripolis 0–0 Levadiakos
- 46′HALF-TIME Asteras Tripolis 0–0 Levadiakos
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Levadiakos · On: Taxiarchis Filon · Off: Giannis Tsivelekidis
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Levadiakos · On: Georgios Vrakas · Off: Agustin Urzi
- 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 54' Levadiakos win: 38% at kick-off, 28% now
- 55′We expected about 2.6 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 26–46–28
- 59′We said Levadiakos at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 0–0 · 24–49–26
- 64′We said Levadiakos at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 22–54–24
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Asteras Tripolis · On: Franco Orozco · Off: Antonis Papakanellos
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Levadiakos · On: Dimitrios Emmanouilidis · Off: Octavian Popescu
- 72′We said Levadiakos at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 18–63–19
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Levadiakos win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
- 73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Julián Bartolo · Asteras Tripolis
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Asteras Tripolis · On: Giannis Bouzoukis · Off: Eder González
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Asteras Tripolis · On: Nikos Kaltsas · Off: Dimitrios Laskaris
- 78′We said Levadiakos at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 13–73–14
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Levadiakos · On: Juan Bauza · Off: Ognjen Ožegović
- 83′We said Levadiakos at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–82–9
- 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Levadiakos win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
- 87′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Franz Brorsson · Asteras Tripolis
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Levadiakos · On: Adrian Sut · Off: Giannis Kosti
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Asteras Tripolis · On: Ricardo Viana Filho · Off: Federico Macheda
- 88′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Asteras Tripolis · On: Chrysanthos Gezos · Off: Alejandro·Mendez Garcia
- 90′We said Levadiakos at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–92–4
- 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Asteras Tripolis 1–0 Levadiakos
- 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Asteras Tripolis win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 97%)
- 96′Asteras Tripolis ahead on 90′ through Nikos Kaltsas. 1–0. 1–0 · 99–1–0
- 96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' Taxiarchis Filon · Levadiakos
- 97′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+7' Asteras Tripolis
- 97′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+7' Draw is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Asteras Tripolis win 99%)
- FTFULL TIME Asteras Tripolis 0–0 Levadiakos
- FTAsteras Tripolis 0–0 Levadiakos · Levadiakos win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Levadiakos are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Asteras Tripolis 33%, draw 29%, Levadiakos 38%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 55%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Asteras Tripolis win33%
Levadiakos win38%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 17:30
RoundMatchday 8
VenueTheodoros Kolokotronis Stadium
RefereeAlexandros Megas
Match timeline
All events
Asteras TripolisMIN
LevadiakosEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Asteras Tripolis
3-4-3
Levadiakos
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos
Last match: 18 Oct · Super League 1
Last match: 17 Oct · Super League 1
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Asteras Tripolis
3-4-3
1 N. Papadopoulos
74 D. Laskaris
16 F. Brorsson
6 K. Chrisopoulos
27 G. Kotsiras
21 D. Kourbelis
10 Eder González
28 Alex Méndez
7 J. Bartolo
9 F. Macheda
44 A. Papakanellos
Coach · G. Antonopoulos
Substitutes
61 · V. Chatziemmanouil
8 · I. Bouzoukis
14 · J. Chicco
64 · P. Deligiannidis
22 · Chrysanthos Gezos
91 · T. Kakadiaris
20 · N. Kaltsas
75 · B. Mbunga Kimpioka
19 · F. Orozco
32 · J. Silva
17 · A. Tereziou
39 · Ricardinho
Levadiakos
4-2-3-1
55 N. Eliasi
23 G. Kornezos
24 P. Liagas
37 I. Tsivelekidis
3 M. Vichos
66 M. Ndiaye
18 I. Kosti
11 A. Urzi
14 G. Manthatis
30 Octavian Popescu
9 O. Ožegović
Coach · I. Charalambous
Substitutes
77 · G. Vrakas
27 · G. Rodríguez
4 · Jonathan Panzo
2 · A. Pantea
33 · Lucas Anacker
8 · G. Nikas
20 · K. Goumas
22 · M. Filon
17 · D. Emmanouilidis
7 · Juan Francisco Bauza
21 · M. Balde
15 · A. Șut
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Asteras Tripolis
3-4-3
1 N. Papadopoulos
74 D. Laskaris
16 F. Brorsson
6 K. Chrisopoulos
27 G. Kotsiras
21 D. Kourbelis
10 Eder González
28 Alex Méndez
7 J. Bartolo
9 F. Macheda
44 A. Papakanellos
Coach · G. Antonopoulos
Substitutes
61 · V. Chatziemmanouil
8 · I. Bouzoukis
14 · J. Chicco
64 · P. Deligiannidis
22 · Chrysanthos Gezos
91 · T. Kakadiaris
20 · N. Kaltsas
75 · B. Mbunga Kimpioka
19 · F. Orozco
32 · J. Silva
17 · A. Tereziou
39 · Ricardinho
Levadiakos
4-2-3-1
55 N. Eliasi
23 G. Kornezos
24 P. Liagas
37 I. Tsivelekidis
3 M. Vichos
66 M. Ndiaye
18 I. Kosti
11 A. Urzi
14 G. Manthatis
30 Octavian Popescu
9 O. Ožegović
Coach · I. Charalambous
Substitutes
77 · G. Vrakas
27 · G. Rodríguez
4 · Jonathan Panzo
2 · A. Pantea
33 · Lucas Anacker
8 · G. Nikas
20 · K. Goumas
22 · M. Filon
17 · D. Emmanouilidis
7 · Juan Francisco Bauza
21 · M. Balde
15 · A. Șut
We make Levadiakos a 38% chance to win. The market has them at 24%. We are 14 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 36%, 38% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 24% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis win | 33% | 47% | −14 |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | −1 |
| Levadiakos win | 38% | 24% | +14 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 41% | +8 |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 47% | +8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 66% | +9 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 22% | +6 |
| Asteras Tripolis or draw | 62% | 76% | −14 |
| Asteras Tripolis clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
| Levadiakos clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Super League 1 this season · since 30 Aug
ASTERAS TRIPOLIS
LEVADIAKOS
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 7 | +13 | 18 |
| 2 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 7 | +5 | 16 |
| 3 | PAOK | 7 | +6 | 15 |
| 4 | AEK Athens FC | 6 | +13 | 14 |
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 7 | −3 | 13 |
| 6 | Kalamata | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 | OFI | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Iraklis 1908 | 7 | −1 | 9 |
| 9 | Panetolikos | 7 | −3 | 9 |
| 10 | Kifisia | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 7 | −8 | 5 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | −4 | 2 |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 7 | −11 | 2 |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 7 | −6 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Panathinaikos
Olympiakos Piraeus
PAOK
AEK Athens FC
Aris Thessalonikis
Kalamata
OFI
Iraklis 1908
Panetolikos
Kifisia
Atromitos
Volos NFC