Asteras Tripolis v Atromitos

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Atromitos win at 35%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Atromitos was 35% before kick-off and our model makes it 36% now. 0–0 · 35–29–36
3. 2′Much as we predicted: Atromitos was 35% before kick-off and our model makes it 36% now. 0–0 · 35–29–36
4. 3′Kalvin Ketu scores for Asteras Tripolis on 4′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 64–21–15
5. 5′Kalvin Ketu scores for Asteras Tripolis on 4′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 64–21–14
6. 7′We said Atromitos at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 64–22–14
7. 8′We said Atromitos at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 64–22–14
8. 21′We said Atromitos at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 2–0 · 88–9–3
9. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Atromitos win: 35% at kick-off, 3% now
10. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Atromitos win: 35% at kick-off, 12% now
11. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Asteras Tripolis 2–1 Atromitos · Dani García
12. 24′Atromitos ahead on 23′ through Dani García. 2–1. 2–1 · 67–22–11
13. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Atromitos win: 35% at kick-off, 3% now
14. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Atromitos win: 35% at kick-off, 12% now
15. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Atromitos win: 35% at kick-off, 11% now
16. 25′Atromitos ahead on 23′ through Dani García. 2–1. 2–1 · 67–22–11
17. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Atromitos win: 35% at kick-off, 11% now
18. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Atromitos win: 35% at kick-off, 3% now
19. 31′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 68–22–10
20. 32′SUBSTITUTION · 31' Asteras Tripolis · On: Julián Chicco · Off: Dimitrios Kourbelis Corrected
21. 37′We said Atromitos at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 69–22–9
22. 38′We said Atromitos at 35%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–1 · 69–22–9
23. 41′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 70–22–8
24. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Atromitos win: 35% at kick-off, 8% now
25. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Asteras Tripolis win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Atromitos win 8%)
26. 45′SECOND HALF Asteras Tripolis 2–1 Atromitos
27. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Atromitos · On: Kelvin Ofori · Off: S. Pnevmonidis Corrected
28. 45′PENALTY · 49' Asteras Tripolis
29. 49′🟨 YELLOW · 50' Mattheos Mountes · Atromitos
30. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Julián Chicco · Asteras Tripolis
31. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Dani García · Atromitos
32. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Kelvin Ofori · Atromitos
33. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Asteras Tripolis · On: Antonis Papakanellos · Off: Kalvin Ketu Corrected
34. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Atromitos · On: Anastasios Kotsis · Off: Sotiris Tsiloulis Corrected
35. 74′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Atromitos · On: Panagiotis Tsantilas · Off: Juan José Perea Corrected
36. 80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Asteras Tripolis 3–1 Atromitos · Dani García
37. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Atromitos · On: Serginho · Off: Dani García Corrected
38. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 91' Asteras Tripolis · On: Giannis Bouzoukis · Off: Julián Bartolo Corrected
39. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 91' Asteras Tripolis · On: Nikos Kaltsas · Off: Federico Macheda Corrected
40. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 91' Asteras Tripolis · On: Ricardo Viana Filho · Off: Eder González Corrected
41. FTFULL TIME Asteras Tripolis 2–1 Atromitos
42. FTAsteras Tripolis 2–1 Atromitos · Atromitos win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.