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Aris Thessalonikis v Atromitos
Aris ThessalonikisAtromitosSuper League 1 · SUN 25 OCT · Kleanthis Vikelidis Stadium
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Aris Thessalonikis are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Aris Thessalonikis 46%, draw 30%, Atromitos 24%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 47%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Aris Thessalonikis win46%Atromitos win24%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 17:30
RoundMatchday 8
VenueKleanthis Vikelidis Stadium
RefereeStavros Tsimenteridis
Match timeline
All events
Aris ThessalonikisMINAtromitosEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Aris Thessalonikis
Atromitos
Last match: 18 Oct · Super League 1
Last match: 10 Oct · Super League 1
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 7 | −3 | 13 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | −4 | 2 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Aris Thessalonikis a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 57%. We are 11 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 57% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aris Thessalonikis win | 46% | 57% | −11 |
| Draw | 30% | 25% | +5 |
| Atromitos win | 24% | 18% | +6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 49% | −8 |
| Both teams to score | 47% | 49% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 72% | −3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 28% | −7 |
| Aris Thessalonikis or draw | 76% | 82% | −6 |
| Aris Thessalonikis clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
| Atromitos clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Super League 1 this season · since 22 Aug
ARIS THESSALONIKIS
ATROMITOS
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 7 | +13 | 18 |
| 2 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 7 | +5 | 16 |
| 3 |  PAOK | 7 | +6 | 15 |
| 4 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | +13 | 14 |
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 7 | −3 | 13 |
| 6 |  Kalamata | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 |  OFI | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 |  Iraklis 1908 | 7 | −1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Panetolikos | 7 | −3 | 9 |
| 10 |  Kifisia | 7 | −2 | 8 |
| 11 |  Asteras Tripolis | 7 | −8 | 5 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | −4 | 2 |
| 13 |  Levadiakos | 7 | −11 | 2 |
| 14 |  Volos NFC | 7 | −6 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.