Korinthos v Panargiakos prediction · Gamma Ethniki

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 17:17

Korinthos 1–1 Panargiakos KORINTHOS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Korinthos win~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.850

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Korinthos are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Korinthos 53%, draw 27%, Panargiakos 20%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Korinthos v PanargiakosBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Korinthos win53%

Draw27%

Panargiakos win20%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundGroup 7 · matchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Korinthos

Panargiakos

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Gamma Ethniki - Group 7

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Korinthos	3	+1	4
9	Panargiakos	3	0	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · korinthos winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Korinthos a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Korinthos v Panargiakos~~1.65 – 0.88

~~Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 this season · since 27 Sept~~W1 D1 L1 · W0 D3 L0

~~Table places · points 4 v 3~~6 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Korinthos win	53%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Panargiakos win	20%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Korinthos or draw	80%	–	–
Korinthos clean sheet	43%	–	–
Panargiakos clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.2%

0123450 10.4 6.0 3.3 1 12.0 12.2 4.9 2 10.4 8.5 3.9 3 5.8 4.7 2.2 4 2.6 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Korinthos down, Panargiakos across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 344 Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.9% of games recently, across 344 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Korinthos at home: 3.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 1). Panargiakos away: 0.67 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.65 goals for Korinthos, 0.88 for Panargiakos. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KOR 0–1 PAN · PAN 1–0 KOR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 this season · since 27 Sept

KORINTHOS

DWL2–2 · 3–1 · 1–2

PANARGIAKOS

DDD0–0 · 1–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Iraklis Xylokastro	3	+4	7
2	Miltiadis Pyrgos	3	0	6
3	Pelopas Kiatou	3	0	6
4	Panthouriakos	3	+1	5
5	Ermis Kiveriou	3	+1	4
6	Korinthos	3	+1	4
7	Loutraki	3	+1	4
8	Asteras Amaliadas	3	−1	4
9	Panargiakos	3	0	3
10	Asteras Vlachioti	3	−1	2
11	Telos Agras	3	−2	1
12	Panthyreatikos	3	−4	1