Asteras Vlachioti v Asteras Amaliadas prediction · Gamma Ethniki

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 18:08

Asteras Vlachioti 1–1 Asteras Amaliadas ASTERAS VLACHIOTI WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Asteras Vlachioti win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.854

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Asteras Vlachioti are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Asteras Vlachioti 47%, draw 25%, Asteras Amaliadas 27%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Asteras Vlachioti v Asteras AmaliadasBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Asteras Vlachioti win47%

Draw25%

Asteras Amaliadas win27%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 7 · matchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Asteras Vlachioti

Asteras Amaliadas

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Gamma Ethniki - Group 7

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Asteras Amaliadas	4	+1	7
10	Asteras Vlachioti	4	−3	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · asteras vlachioti winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Asteras Vlachioti a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Asteras Vlachioti v Asteras Amaliadas~~1.77 – 1.27

~~Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 this season · since 27 Sept~~W0 D2 L2 · W2 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 2 v 7~~10 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Asteras Vlachioti win

Published at 51%, 47% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Asteras Vlachioti win	47%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Asteras Amaliadas win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Asteras Vlachioti or draw	73%	–	–
Asteras Vlachioti clean sheet	30%	–	–
Asteras Amaliadas clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 6.8 5.3 4.1 1 7.6 11.6 6.4 2.8 2 7.4 8.6 5.4 2.4 3 4.4 5.1 3.2 4 2.1 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Asteras Vlachioti down, Asteras Amaliadas across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 350 Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.3% of games recently, across 350 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Asteras Vlachioti at home: 2.00 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Asteras Amaliadas away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.77 goals for Asteras Vlachioti, 1.27 for Asteras Amaliadas. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 7 this season · since 27 Sept

ASTERAS VLACHIOTI

LDDL2–3 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–3

ASTERAS AMALIADAS

WLDW2–1 · 2–4 · 0–0 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Iraklis Xylokastro	4	+6	10
2	Pelopas Kiatou	4	+4	9
3	Miltiadis Pyrgos	4	+2	9
4	Loutraki	4	+2	7
5	Asteras Amaliadas	4	+1	7
6	Korinthos	4	+1	5
7	Panthouriakos	4	−1	5
8	Panargiakos	4	0	4
9	Ermis Kiveriou	4	−3	4
10	Asteras Vlachioti	4	−3	2
11	Telos Agras	4	−3	1
12	Panthyreatikos	4	−6	1