Panachaiki FC v Atromitos Patras prediction · Gamma Ethniki

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Panachaiki FCDrawAtromitos Patras

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Panachaiki FC 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Panachaiki FC are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Panachaiki FC 41%, draw 24%, Atromitos Patras 35%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Panachaiki FC v Atromitos PatrasBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Panachaiki FC win41%

Draw24%

Atromitos Patras win35%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 6 · matchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Panachaiki FC

Atromitos Patras

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Gamma Ethniki - Group 6

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Atromitos Patras	4	+13	10
4	Panachaiki FC	4	+7	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · panachaiki fc winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Panachaiki FC a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Panachaiki FC v Atromitos Patras~~1.53 – 1.38

~~Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 this season · since 27 Sept~~W3 D0 L1 · W3 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 9 v 10~~4 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Panachaiki FC win	41%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Atromitos Patras win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	56%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Panachaiki FC or draw	65%	–	–
Panachaiki FC clean sheet	27%	–	–
Atromitos Patras clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 6.1 7.8 5.3 2.5 1 8.7 11.0 7.4 3.5 2 6.5 8.2 5.5 2.6 3 3.3 4.3 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Panachaiki FC down, Atromitos Patras across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 489 Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Panachaiki FC at home: 3.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 1). Atromitos Patras away: 1.00 scored, 0.00 conceded (last 1).

What the model expects

1.53 goals for Panachaiki FC, 1.38 for Atromitos Patras. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 this season · since 27 Sept

PANACHAIKI FC

LWWW1–2 · 5–0 · 3–1 · 1–0

ATROMITOS PATRAS

WWWD7–0 · 5–0 · 1–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Panegialios	4	+9	12
2	Atromitos Patras	4	+13	10
3	Preveza	4	+7	10
4	Panachaiki FC	4	+7	9
5	Plataria	4	+1	7
6	Tilikratis	4	+1	6
7	Pallixouriakos	4	−2	4
8	Aris Filiates	4	−1	3
9	Agios Matthaios	4	−6	3
10	Lefkimmi	4	−6	3
11	Panagriniakos	4	−10	3
12	Levante	4	−13	0