Aris Filiates v Levante prediction · Gamma Ethniki

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Aris FiliatesDrawLevante

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 10:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Aris Filiates 64%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Aris Filiates are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Aris Filiates 64%, draw 20%, Levante 16%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Aris Filiates v LevanteBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Aris Filiates win64%

Draw20%

Levante win16%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 10:00

RoundGroup 6 · matchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Aris Filiates

Levante

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Gamma Ethniki - Group 6

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Aris Filiates	4	−1	3
12	Levante	4	−13	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · aris filiates winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

64% The market–

Us64%

We make Aris Filiates a 64% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Aris Filiates v Levante~~2.18 – 0.96

~~Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 this season · since 27 Sept~~W1 D0 L3 · W0 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 3 v 0~~8 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Aris Filiates win	64%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Levante win	16%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Aris Filiates or draw	84%	–	–
Aris Filiates clean sheet	39%	–	–
Levante clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 10.0%

0123450 5.0 4.5 2.2 1 9.8 8.9 4.3 2 10.0 9.2 4.4 3 7.2 6.5 3.1 4 4.0 3.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Aris Filiates down, Levante across0–5 goals a side shown (96.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 489 Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Aris Filiates at home: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 1). Levante away: 0.00 scored, 5.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

2.18 goals for Aris Filiates, 0.96 for Levante. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 6 this season · since 27 Sept

ARIS FILIATES

WLLL2–0 · 1–2 · 2–3 · 2–3

LEVANTE

LLLL0–7 · 0–1 · 0–4 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Panegialios	4	+9	12
2	Atromitos Patras	4	+13	10
3	Preveza	4	+7	10
4	Panachaiki FC	4	+7	9
5	Plataria	4	+1	7
6	Tilikratis	4	+1	6
7	Pallixouriakos	4	−2	4
8	Aris Filiates	4	−1	3
9	Agios Matthaios	4	−6	3
10	Lefkimmi	4	−6	3
11	Panagriniakos	4	−10	3
12	Levante	4	−13	0