Nea Artaki v Tamynaikos Aliveriou prediction · Gamma Ethniki

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Nea ArtakiDrawTamynaikos Aliveriou

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Nea Artaki 57%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Nea Artaki are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Nea Artaki 57%, draw 26%, Tamynaikos Aliveriou 17%. Over 2.5 goals 37%, both teams to score 36%.

The AI’s read on Nea Artaki v Tamynaikos AliveriouBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Nea Artaki win57%

Draw26%

Tamynaikos Aliveriou win17%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 5 · matchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Nea Artaki

Tamynaikos Aliveriou

14Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Gamma Ethniki - Group 5

Last match: 18 Oct · Gamma Ethniki - Group 5

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Nea Artaki	3	+2	4
8	Tamynaikos Aliveriou	3	0	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nea artaki winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

57% The market–

Us57%

We make Nea Artaki a 57% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Nea Artaki v Tamynaikos Aliveriou~~1.51 – 0.66

~~Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 this season · since 26 Sept~~W1 D1 L1 · W1 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 4 v 4~~7 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Nea Artaki win	57%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Tamynaikos Aliveriou win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	37%	–	–
Both teams to score	36%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	62%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	18%	–	–
Nea Artaki or draw	83%	–	–
Nea Artaki clean sheet	52%	–	–
Tamynaikos Aliveriou clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.3%

0123450 12.2 8.2 2.7 1 17.3 10.7 3.7 2 12.4 7.8 2.7 3 6.4 4.0 4 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Nea Artaki down, Tamynaikos Aliveriou across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 708 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Nea Artaki at home: 1.17 scored, 0.17 conceded a game (last 6). Tamynaikos Aliveriou away: 4.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 1).

What the model expects

1.51 goals for Nea Artaki, 0.66 for Tamynaikos Aliveriou. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 this season · since 26 Sept

NEA ARTAKI

DLW0–0 · 0–2 · 4–0

TAMYNAIKOS ALIVERIOU

DWL0–0 · 4–2 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Karystos	4	+5	9
2	Kifissos	4	+5	8
3	Diagoras Agias	4	+2	8
4	A. Schimatari	3	+3	7
5	Lamia	3	+2	6
6	Fokikos	4	−1	5
7	Nea Artaki	3	+2	4
8	Tamynaikos Aliveriou	3	0	4
9	Asteras Stavros	4	−4	3
10	Katsantonis Agrafon	4	−6	1
11	Thiva	4	−8	0