Karystos v Kifissos prediction · Gamma Ethniki

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

KarystosDrawKifissos

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Karystos 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Karystos are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Karystos 52%, draw 26%, Kifissos 23%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 43%.

The AI’s read on Karystos v KifissosBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Karystos win52%

Draw26%

Kifissos win23%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 5 · matchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Karystos

Kifissos

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Gamma Ethniki - Group 5

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · karystos winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Karystos a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Karystos v Kifissos~~1.51 – 0.87

~~Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 this season · since 27 Sept~~W3 D0 L1 · W2 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 9 v 8~~1 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Karystos win	52%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Kifissos win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	42%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Karystos or draw	77%	–	–
Karystos clean sheet	43%	–	–
Kifissos clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.2%

0123450 9.9 8.6 3.7 1 14.2 11.4 5.1 2 10.2 8.4 3.7 3 5.2 4.3 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Karystos down, Kifissos across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 708 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Karystos at home: 1.67 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Kifissos away: 3.50 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.51 goals for Karystos, 0.87 for Kifissos. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 this season · since 27 Sept

KARYSTOS

LWWW1–2 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 2–0

KIFISSOS

WWDD3–1 · 4–1 · 3–3 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Karystos	4	+5	9
2	Kifissos	4	+5	8
3	Diagoras Agias	4	+2	8
4	A. Schimatari	3	+3	7
5	Lamia	3	+2	6
6	Fokikos	4	−1	5
7	Nea Artaki	3	+2	4
8	Tamynaikos Aliveriou	3	0	4
9	Asteras Stavros	4	−4	3
10	Katsantonis Agrafon	4	−6	1
11	Thiva	4	−8	0