A. Schimatari v Lamia prediction · Gamma Ethniki

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

A. SchimatariDrawLamia

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · A. Schimatari 53%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

A. Schimatari are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: A. Schimatari 53%, draw 24%, Lamia 23%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on A. Schimatari v LamiaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

A. Schimatari win53%

Draw24%

Lamia win23%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 5 · matchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

A. Schimatari

Lamia

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Gamma Ethniki - Group 5

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	A. Schimatari	3	+3	7
5	Lamia	3	+2	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · a. schimatari winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

53% The market–

Us53%

We make A. Schimatari a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · A. Schimatari v Lamia~~1.64 – 0.97

~~Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 this season · since 27 Sept~~W2 D1 L0 · W2 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 7 v 6~~4 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
A. Schimatari win	53%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Lamia win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
A. Schimatari or draw	77%	–	–
A. Schimatari clean sheet	39%	–	–
Lamia clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.4%

0123450 7.9 7.7 3.6 1 12.4 11.1 5.5 2 9.6 8.9 4.3 3 5.3 4.9 2.4 4 2.3 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+A. Schimatari down, Lamia across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number5 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 708 Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 matches have gone over 2.5 in 40.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 0.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

What the model expects

1.64 goals for A. Schimatari, 0.97 for Lamia. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~0.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ASC 0–0 LAM · LAM 0–0 ASC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 this season · since 27 Sept

A. SCHIMATARI

WDW2–1 · 0–0 · 2–0

LAMIA

WLW1–0 · 2–4 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Karystos	4	+5	9
2	Kifissos	4	+5	8
3	Diagoras Agias	4	+2	8
4	A. Schimatari	3	+3	7
5	Lamia	3	+2	6
6	Fokikos	4	−1	5
7	Nea Artaki	3	+2	4
8	Tamynaikos Aliveriou	3	0	4
9	Asteras Stavros	4	−4	3
10	Katsantonis Agrafon	4	−6	1
11	Thiva	4	−8	0