Anthoupoli v Feraios prediction · Gamma Ethniki

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 17:24

Anthoupoli 2–0 Feraios ANTHOUPOLI WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Anthoupoli win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.360

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Anthoupoli are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Anthoupoli 51%, draw 26%, Feraios 23%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Anthoupoli v FeraiosBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Anthoupoli win51%

Draw26%

Feraios win23%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 4 · matchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Anthoupoli

Feraios

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Gamma Ethniki - Group 4

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Anthoupoli	4	+3	7
8	Feraios	4	−1	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · anthoupoli winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Anthoupoli a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Anthoupoli v Feraios~~1.44 – 0.83

~~Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 this season · since 26 Sept~~W2 D1 L1 · W1 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 7 v 4~~4 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Anthoupoli win	51%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Feraios win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	41%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	64%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Anthoupoli or draw	77%	–	–
Anthoupoli clean sheet	45%	–	–
Feraios clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.3%

0123450 10.9 9.4 3.7 1 15.3 11.2 4.9 2 10.3 8.1 3.4 3 5.1 4.0 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Anthoupoli down, Feraios across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,090 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Anthoupoli at home: 0.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 2). Feraios away: 0.50 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.44 goals for Anthoupoli, 0.83 for Feraios. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 this season · since 26 Sept

ANTHOUPOLI

DWLW1–1 · 3–0 · 0–1 · 1–0

FERAIOS

LLWD0–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Trikala	3	+5	9
2	Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou	4	+3	9
3	Ermis Exochi	4	+4	7
4	Anthoupoli	4	+3	7
5	Elassona	4	+2	7
6	Pierikos	3	+1	4
7	Karitsa	3	0	4
8	Feraios	4	−1	4
9	Sarakinos	4	−5	3
10	Digenis Neochori	3	−3	2
11	Iraklis Larissa	4	−9	0