Makedonikos Siatista v Thyella Katsikas prediction · Gamma Ethniki

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Makedonikos SiatistaDrawThyella Katsikas

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Makedonikos Siatista 61%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Makedonikos Siatista are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Makedonikos Siatista 61%, draw 23%, Thyella Katsikas 16%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 38%.

The AI’s read on Makedonikos Siatista v Thyella KatsikasBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Makedonikos Siatista win61%

Draw23%

Thyella Katsikas win16%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 3 · matchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Makedonikos Siatista

Thyella Katsikas

13Days since last match13

Last match: 18 Oct · Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · makedonikos siatista winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

61% The market–

Us61%

We make Makedonikos Siatista a 61% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 16%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Makedonikos Siatista v Thyella Katsikas~~1.72 – 0.67

~~Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 this season · since 27 Sept~~W3 D1 L0 · W0 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 10 v 1~~1 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Makedonikos Siatista win	61%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Thyella Katsikas win	16%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	42%	–	–
Both teams to score	38%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Makedonikos Siatista or draw	84%	–	–
Makedonikos Siatista clean sheet	52%	–	–
Thyella Katsikas clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 16.1%

0123450 10.1 7.0 2.3 1 16.1 9.8 3.5 2 12.8 8.2 2.8 3 7.3 4.6 4 3.4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Makedonikos Siatista down, Thyella Katsikas across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,051 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Makedonikos Siatista at home: 0.50 scored, 0.00 conceded a game (last 2). Thyella Katsikas away: 0.50 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.72 goals for Makedonikos Siatista, 0.67 for Thyella Katsikas. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 this season · since 27 Sept

MAKEDONIKOS SIATISTA

DWWW0–0 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 1–0

THYELLA KATSIKAS

LDLL1–4 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Makedonikos Siatista	4	+5	10
2	Veria	3	+6	9
3	Anagennisi Artas	4	+3	8
4	Eordaikos	4	+2	7
5	Alexandros Florinas	3	+6	6
6	Doxa Mascholouriou	4	−1	6
7	Kastoria	4	−1	4
8	Naousa	3	−2	3
9	PAS Giannina	3	−1	2
10	Thyella Katsikas	4	−5	1
11	Vatolakkos	4	−12	0