Kastoria v Anagennisi Artas prediction · Gamma Ethniki

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43

Kastoria 0–0 Anagennisi Artas KASTORIA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kastoria win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.858

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kastoria are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kastoria 45%, draw 25%, Anagennisi Artas 30%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Kastoria v Anagennisi ArtasBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Kastoria win45%

Draw25%

Anagennisi Artas win30%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundGroup 3 · matchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kastoria

Anagennisi Artas

8Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Anagennisi Artas	3	+3	7
7	Kastoria	3	−1	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · kastoria winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Kastoria a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.1, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Kastoria v Anagennisi Artas~~1.48 – 1.13

~~Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 this season · since 27 Sept~~W1 D0 L2 · W2 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 3 v 7~~7 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Kastoria win	45%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Anagennisi Artas win	30%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Kastoria or draw	70%	–	–
Kastoria clean sheet	34%	–	–
Anagennisi Artas clean sheet	25%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.6%

0123450 8.0 9.0 4.8 1 11.6 11.3 6.4 2.5 2 8.0 8.2 4.5 3 4.0 4.1 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Kastoria down, Anagennisi Artas across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,046 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Kastoria at home: 0.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 1). Anagennisi Artas away: 1.50 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.48 goals for Kastoria, 1.13 for Anagennisi Artas. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~ANA 0–0 KAS · KAS 4–0 ANA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 this season · since 27 Sept

KASTORIA

WLL1–0 · 0–1 · 1–2

ANAGENNISI ARTAS

DWW0–0 · 3–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Makedonikos Siatista	3	+4	7
2	Anagennisi Artas	3	+3	7
3	Veria	2	+5	6
4	Doxa Mascholouriou	3	0	6
5	Eordaikos	3	+1	4
6	Alexandros Florinas	2	+2	3
7	Kastoria	3	−1	3
8	Naousa	3	−2	3
9	PAS Giannina	2	0	2
10	Thyella Katsikas	3	−4	1
11	Vatolakkos	3	−8	0