Anagennisi Artas v Makedonikos Siatista prediction · Gamma Ethniki

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Anagennisi ArtasDrawMakedonikos Siatista

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Anagennisi Artas 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Anagennisi Artas are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Anagennisi Artas 44%, draw 27%, Makedonikos Siatista 29%. Over 2.5 goals 40%, both teams to score 44%.

The AI’s read on Anagennisi Artas v Makedonikos SiatistaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Anagennisi Artas win44%

Draw27%

Makedonikos Siatista win29%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 3 · matchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Anagennisi Artas

Makedonikos Siatista

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Gamma Ethniki - Group 3

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · anagennisi artas winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Anagennisi Artas a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Anagennisi Artas v Makedonikos Siatista~~1.31 – 0.99

~~Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 this season · since 27 Sept~~W2 D2 L0 · W3 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 8 v 10~~3 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Anagennisi Artas win	44%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Makedonikos Siatista win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	40%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	65%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	21%	–	–
Anagennisi Artas or draw	71%	–	–
Anagennisi Artas clean sheet	38%	–	–
Makedonikos Siatista clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.6%

0123450 10.5 10.6 5.0 1 13.6 11.9 6.0 2.1 2 8.4 7.8 3.8 3 3.8 3.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Anagennisi Artas down, Makedonikos Siatista across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,051 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Anagennisi Artas at home: 2.17 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Makedonikos Siatista away: 2.00 scored, 0.00 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.31 goals for Anagennisi Artas, 0.99 for Makedonikos Siatista. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 this season · since 27 Sept

ANAGENNISI ARTAS

DWWD0–0 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 0–0

MAKEDONIKOS SIATISTA

DWWW0–0 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Makedonikos Siatista	4	+5	10
2	Veria	3	+6	9
3	Anagennisi Artas	4	+3	8
4	Eordaikos	4	+2	7
5	Alexandros Florinas	3	+6	6
6	Doxa Mascholouriou	4	−1	6
7	Kastoria	4	−1	4
8	Naousa	3	−2	3
9	PAS Giannina	3	−1	2
10	Thyella Katsikas	4	−5	1
11	Vatolakkos	4	−12	0