Panedessaikos v Agiou Nikolaou prediction · Gamma Ethniki

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 17:24

Panedessaikos 0–2 Agiou Nikolaou PANEDESSAIKOS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Panedessaikos win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.637

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Panedessaikos just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Panedessaikos 38%, draw 27%, Agiou Nikolaou 35%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Panedessaikos v Agiou NikolaouBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Panedessaikos win38%

Draw27%

Agiou Nikolaou win35%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Panedessaikos

Agiou Nikolaou

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Gamma Ethniki - Group 2

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Agiou Nikolaou	3	+3	7
9	Panedessaikos	3	−3	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · panedessaikos winFirst published 19 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

38% The market–

Us38%

We make Panedessaikos a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.2, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Panedessaikos v Agiou Nikolaou~~1.21 – 1.15

~~Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 this season · since 27 Sept~~W0 D1 L2 · W2 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 1 v 7~~9 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Panedessaikos win	38%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Agiou Nikolaou win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	42%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Panedessaikos or draw	65%	–	–
Panedessaikos clean sheet	33%	–	–
Agiou Nikolaou clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.0%

0123450 10.0 11.4 6.2 2.5 1 12.0 12.0 7.0 2.8 2 6.9 7.4 4.2 3 2.9 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Panedessaikos down, Agiou Nikolaou across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number5 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,041 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

What the model expects

1.21 goals for Panedessaikos, 1.15 for Agiou Nikolaou. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 this season · since 27 Sept

PANEDESSAIKOS

DLL1–1 · 0–2 · 0–1

AGIOU NIKOLAOU

DWW1–1 · 1–0 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Poseidon Nea Michaniona	4	+7	10
2	Finikas Polichnis	4	+1	9
3	Mpam	4	+4	8
4	Iraklis Therm.	4	+3	8
5	Agiou Nikolaou	3	+3	7
6	Makedonikos Neapolis	4	−1	4
7	Polykastrou	3	−1	3
8	Akrites Sykeon	4	−3	3
9	Panedessaikos	3	−3	1
10	Kilkisiakos	4	−4	1
11	PAO Kristoni	3	−6	1