Makedonikos Neapolis v Poseidon Nea Michaniona prediction · Gamma Ethniki

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43

Makedonikos Neapolis 2–2 Poseidon Nea Michaniona POSEIDON NEA MICHANIONA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Poseidon Nea Michaniona win~~42%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.857

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Poseidon Nea Michaniona are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Makedonikos Neapolis 33%, draw 25%, Poseidon Nea Michaniona 42%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Makedonikos Neapolis v Poseidon Nea MichanionaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Makedonikos Neapolis win33%

Draw25%

Poseidon Nea Michaniona win42%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Makedonikos Neapolis

Poseidon Nea Michaniona

7Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Gamma Ethniki - Group 2

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Poseidon Nea Michaniona	3	+7	9
6	Makedonikos Neapolis	3	−1	3

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · poseidon nea michaniona winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

42% The market–

Us42%

We make Poseidon Nea Michaniona a 42% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.5, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Makedonikos Neapolis v Poseidon Nea Michaniona~~1.22 – 1.48

~~Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 this season · since 26 Sept~~W1 D0 L2 · W3 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 3 v 9~~6 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Makedonikos Neapolis win	33%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Poseidon Nea Michaniona win	42%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	28%	–	–
Makedonikos Neapolis or draw	58%	–	–
Makedonikos Neapolis clean sheet	27%	–	–
Poseidon Nea Michaniona clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 11.0%

0123450 8.9 11.0 7.1 3.6 1 9.3 10.5 7.0 3.4 2 5.4 6.4 4.1 3 2.4 2.8 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Makedonikos Neapolis down, Poseidon Nea Michaniona across0–5 goals a side shown (97.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,036 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 0.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Makedonikos Neapolis at home: 1.83 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Poseidon Nea Michaniona away: 1.83 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.22 goals for Makedonikos Neapolis, 1.48 for Poseidon Nea Michaniona. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~0.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~POS 0–0 MAK · MAK 1–0 POS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 this season · since 26 Sept

MAKEDONIKOS NEAPOLIS

LWL0–2 · 2–0 · 1–2

POSEIDON NEA MICHANIONA

WWW5–1 · 2–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Poseidon Nea Michaniona	3	+7	9
2	Finikas Polichnis	3	+3	9
3	Mpam	3	+4	7
4	Iraklis Therm.	3	+2	5
5	Agiou Nikolaou	2	+1	4
6	Makedonikos Neapolis	3	−1	3
7	Akrites Sykeon	3	−2	3
8	Panedessaikos	2	−2	1
9	PAO Kristoni	3	−6	1
10	Polykastrou	2	−2	0
11	Kilkisiakos	3	−4	0