Finikas Polichnis v Poseidon Nea Michaniona prediction · Gamma Ethniki

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 17:24

Finikas Polichnis 2–1 Poseidon Nea Michaniona POSEIDON NEA MICHANIONA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Poseidon Nea Michaniona win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.679

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Poseidon Nea Michaniona are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Finikas Polichnis 34%, draw 21%, Poseidon Nea Michaniona 44%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Finikas Polichnis v Poseidon Nea MichanionaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Finikas Polichnis win34%

Draw21%

Poseidon Nea Michaniona win44%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 5

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Finikas Polichnis

Poseidon Nea Michaniona

6Days since last match6

Last match: 18 Oct · Gamma Ethniki - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Poseidon Nea Michaniona	4	+7	10
2	Finikas Polichnis	4	+1	9

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · poseidon nea michaniona winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 19 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Poseidon Nea Michaniona a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Finikas Polichnis v Poseidon Nea Michaniona~~1.47 – 1.79

~~Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 this season · since 27 Sept~~W3 D0 L1 · W3 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 9 v 10~~2 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Poseidon Nea Michaniona win

Published at 43%, 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Finikas Polichnis win	34%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Poseidon Nea Michaniona win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Finikas Polichnis or draw	56%	–	–
Finikas Polichnis clean sheet	21%	–	–
Poseidon Nea Michaniona clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.5%

0123450 4.8 8.0 6.1 3.6 1 7.1 9.5 7.6 4.3 2.1 2 4.8 6.8 5.3 3.0 3 2.4 3.4 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Finikas Polichnis down, Poseidon Nea Michaniona across0–5 goals a side shown (96.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,041 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.5% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Finikas Polichnis at home: 2.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 2). Poseidon Nea Michaniona away: 2.00 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.47 goals for Finikas Polichnis, 1.79 for Poseidon Nea Michaniona. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 this season · since 27 Sept

FINIKAS POLICHNIS

WWWL3–2 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 1–3

POSEIDON NEA MICHANIONA

WWWD5–1 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Poseidon Nea Michaniona	4	+7	10
2	Finikas Polichnis	4	+1	9
3	Mpam	4	+4	8
4	Iraklis Therm.	4	+3	8
5	Agiou Nikolaou	3	+3	7
6	Makedonikos Neapolis	4	−1	4
7	Polykastrou	3	−1	3
8	Akrites Sykeon	4	−3	3
9	Panedessaikos	3	−3	1
10	Kilkisiakos	4	−4	1
11	PAO Kristoni	3	−6	1