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Model 1.2

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Panserraikos v Niki Volos

Panserraikos
14:00Upcoming
Niki Volos

Cup · TUE 27 OCT · Dimotiko Stadio Serron

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

PanserraikosDrawNiki Volos
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 14:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Panserraikos 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Panserraikos are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Panserraikos 41%, draw 29%, Niki Volos 30%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Panserraikos v Niki VolosBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Panserraikos win41%
Draw29%
Niki Volos win30%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 14:00

RoundGreek Cup · matchday 4

VenueDimotiko Stadio Serron

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Panserraikos

Niki Volos

3Days since last match3

Last match: 24 Oct · Super League 2

Last match: 24 Oct · Super League 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · panserraikos winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
41% The market47%
Us41%
Market47%

We make Panserraikos a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 47%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.1.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Panserraikos v Niki Volos1.27 – 1.06
Form · Cup this season · since 19 AugW1 D0 L2 · W0 D1 L2
The market · Panserraikos win47% · ours 41%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
35%40%45%50% 21 OCT 00:0124 OCT 22:52
Our probability · Panserraikos win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 47% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Panserraikos win41%47%−6
Draw29%28%+1
Niki Volos win30%26%+4
Over 2.5 goals41%47%−6
Both teams to score47%51%−4
Over 1.5 goals68%71%−3
Over 3.5 goals21%27%−6
Panserraikos or draw70%74%−4
Panserraikos clean sheet35%––
Niki Volos clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.5%
0123450 10.2 9.9 5.4 1 12.0 13.5 6.9 2.4 2 7.9 8.3 4.4 3 3.3 3.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Panserraikos down, Niki Volos across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2019/20
Goals a meeting1.50
Over 2.51 of 4
Both scored0 of 4
Last meetingsNIK 3–0 PAN · PAN 2–0 NIK · PAN 0–0 NIK · NIK 1–0 PAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Cup this season · since 19 Aug

PANSERRAIKOS

WLL2–1 · 0–1 · 1–8

NIKI VOLOS

DLL0–0 · 0–1 · 0–3