Nestos Chrisoupolis v Kalamata
Nestos ChrisoupolisKalamataCup · WED 28 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Kalamata are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Nestos Chrisoupolis 21%, draw 28%, Kalamata 51%. Over 2.5 goals 34%, both teams to score 36%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Nestos Chrisoupolis win21%Kalamata win51%Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 13:00
RoundGreek Cup · matchday 4
Match timeline
All events
Nestos ChrisoupolisMINKalamataEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Kalamata
Last match: 24 Oct · Super League 2
Last match: 18 Oct · Super League 1
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Kalamata a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 60%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.7–1.3.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 52%, 51% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 60% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestos Chrisoupolis win | 21% | 15% | +6 |
| Draw | 28% | 25% | +3 |
| Kalamata win | 51% | 60% | −9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 47% | −13 |
| Both teams to score | 36% | 45% | −9 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60% | 70% | −10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% | 27% | −11 |
| Nestos Chrisoupolis or draw | 49% | 40% | +9 |
| Nestos Chrisoupolis clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
| Kalamata clean sheet | 50% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Cup this season · since 19 Aug
NESTOS CHRISOUPOLIS
KALAMATA