Marko v Olympiakos Piraeus
MarkoOlympiakos PiraeusCup · WED 28 OCT
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Olympiakos Piraeus are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Marko 5%, draw 17%, Olympiakos Piraeus 78%. Over 2.5 goals 44%, both teams to score 27%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Marko win5%Olympiakos Piraeus win78%Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 13:00
RoundGreek Cup · matchday 4
Match timeline
All events
MarkoMINOlympiakos PiraeusEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Marko
Olympiakos Piraeus
Last match: 17 Oct · Super League 2
Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Olympiakos Piraeus a 78% chance to win. The market has them at 80%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 0.4–2.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 80% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marko win | 5% | 6% | −1 |
| Draw | 17% | 14% | +3 |
| Olympiakos Piraeus win | 78% | 80% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 65% | −21 |
| Both teams to score | 27% | 42% | −15 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% | 83% | −13 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% | 47% | −24 |
| Marko or draw | 22% | 20% | +2 |
| Marko clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
| Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheet | 70% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2021/22No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Cup this season · since 24 Aug
MARKO
OLYMPIAKOS PIRAEUS