Larisa v OFI
LarisaOFICup · WED 28 OCT · AEL FC Arena
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with OFI just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Larisa 35%, draw 29%, OFI 37%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 56%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Larisa win35%OFI win37%Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 17:30
RoundGreek Cup · matchday 4
VenueAEL FC Arena
Match timeline
All events
LarisaMINOFIEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Larisa
OFI
Last match: 24 Oct · Super League 2
Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make OFI a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 54%. We are 17 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 54% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larisa win | 35% | 19% | +16 |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | +2 |
| OFI win | 37% | 54% | −17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 47% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 56% | 49% | +7 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 71% | +6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 27% | +2 |
| Larisa or draw | 63% | 46% | +17 |
| Larisa clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
| OFI clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2016/17Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Cup this season · since 11 Aug
LARISA
OFI