Asteras Tripolis v Kifisia
Asteras TripolisKifisiaCup · TUE 27 OCT · Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Asteras Tripolis are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Asteras Tripolis 40%, draw 30%, Kifisia 30%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Asteras Tripolis win40%Kifisia win30%Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 15:30
RoundGreek Cup · matchday 4
VenueTheodoros Kolokotronis Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Asteras TripolisMINKifisiaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Asteras Tripolis
Kifisia
Last match: 24 Oct · Super League 1
Last match: 24 Oct · Super League 1
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Asteras Tripolis a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are level with the market. The model expects 1.3–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 41%, 40% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asteras Tripolis win | 40% | 40% | 0 |
| Draw | 30% | 30% | 0 |
| Kifisia win | 30% | 30% | 0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 44% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 50% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 68% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 25% | −1 |
| Asteras Tripolis or draw | 70% | 70% | 0 |
| Asteras Tripolis clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
| Kifisia clean sheet | 27% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Cup this season · since 18 Aug
ASTERAS TRIPOLIS
KIFISIA