St Joseph S Fc v College 1975 prediction · Premier Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

St Joseph S FcDrawCollege 1975

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:30

Before kick-off · Match result · St Joseph S Fc 92%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

St Joseph S Fc are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: St Joseph S Fc 92%, draw 5%, College 1975 2%. Over 2.5 goals 82%, both teams to score 36%.

The AI’s read on St Joseph S Fc v College 1975Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

St Joseph S Fc win92%

Draw5%

College 1975 win2%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:30

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

St Joseph S Fc

College 1975

7Days since last match14

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier Division (Gibraltar)

Last match: 11 Oct · Premier Division (Gibraltar)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · st joseph s fc winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

92% The market–

Us92%

We make St Joseph S Fc a 92% chance to win. The model expects 4.3–0.5, and 3–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · St Joseph S Fc v College 1975~~4.32 – 0.48

~~Form · Premier Division this season · since 21 Aug~~W5 D0 L0 · W1 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 15 v 4~~1 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
St Joseph S Fc win	92%	–	–
Draw	5%	–	–
College 1975 win	2%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	82%	–	–
Both teams to score	36%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	66%	–	–
St Joseph S Fc or draw	98%	–	–
St Joseph S Fc clean sheet	63%	–	–
College 1975 clean sheet	2%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 10.6%

0123450 1 4.8 2.5 2 8.6 4.4 3 10.6 5.2 4 10.3 4.8 5 8.5 3.7

under 2% 5% 12%+St Joseph S Fc down, College 1975 across0–5 goals a side shown (72.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 642 Premier Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 62.9% of games this season, across 35 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 3.80 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

St Joseph S Fc at home: 1.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). College 1975 away: 0.50 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

4.32 goals for St Joseph S Fc, 0.48 for College 1975. Most likely score 3–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~3.80

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~COL 1–5 STJ · STJ 4–0 COL · STJ 5–0 COL · STJ 1–0 COL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier Division this season · since 21 Aug

ST JOSEPH S FC

WWWWW2–1 · 3–0 · 6–0 · 2–0 · 8–0

COLLEGE 1975

DLWLL1–1 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 2–3 · 0–7

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	St Joseph S Fc	5	+20	15
2	Magpies	6	+12	14
3	Lincoln Red Imps FC	5	+9	13
4	Mons Calpe	6	+7	13
5	Glacis United	6	+5	10
6	Europa Point	7	−1	10
7	Europa	7	−2	8
8	Lions Gibraltar	6	−3	7
9	College 1975	5	−7	4
10	Lynx	8	−15	1
11	Hound Dogs	7	−25	1