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Model 1.1

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Mons Calpe v Lynx

Mons Calpe
3–2Full time
Lynx

Premier Division · MON 12 OCT

Full timeGraded 13 Oct 00:30
Mons Calpe 3–2 Lynx MONS CALPE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Mons Calpe win64%
The market said64%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.190
The market’s Brier score0.190

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 19:46 · locked at kick-off

Mons Calpe win64%
Draw18%
Lynx win18%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 20:00

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Mons Calpe

Lynx

22Days since last match23
0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
6Mons Calpe4+27
10Lynx5−111

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Line-ups, squads and player statistics aren’t currently available for this competition.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · mons calpe winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 19:46 · locked at kick-off
64% The market64%
Us64%
Market64%

We make Mons Calpe a 64% chance to win. The market has them at 64%. We are within 0 points of the market. The model expects 2.4–1.1.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70% 9 OCT 06:1912 OCT 17:08
Our probability · mons calpe win The market, margin stripped

Published at 63%, 64% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 64% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Mons Calpe win64%64%0
Draw18%19%−1
Lynx win18%17%+1
Over 2.5 goals65%69%−4
Both teams to score56%63%−8
Over 1.5 goals84%––
Over 3.5 goals44%48%−4
Mons Calpe or draw82%83%−1
Mons Calpe clean sheet37%––
Lynx clean sheet11%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 8.8%
0123450 3.8 4.2 2.2 1 8.2 8.0 4.5 2 8.8 8.6 4.6 3 6.8 6.4 3.3 4 4.3 3.9 5 2.4 2.1
under 2% 5% 12%+Mons Calpe down, Lynx across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

9 meetings since 2022
Goals a meeting3.56
Over 2.57 of 9
Both scored8 of 9
Last meetingsLYN 2–3 MON · LYN 1–2 MON · MON 5–2 LYN · LYN 1–2 MON

Form · last six in Premier Division

MONS CALPE

WLLWDW3–2 · 1–4 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 2–1

LYNX

LDLLLL1–4 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–6

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1St Joseph S Fc4+1212
2Magpies5+711
3Lincoln Red Imps FC4+810
4Glacis United6+510
5Europa Point6+410
6Mons Calpe4+27
7Lions Gibraltar6−37
8Europa6−45
9College 19755−74
10Lynx5−111
11Hound Dogs5−131

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.