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Lincoln Red Imps FC v Europa

Lincoln Red Imps FC

2–0Full time

Europa

Premier Division · SAT 10 OCT · Victoria Stadium

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 18:06

Lincoln Red Imps FC 2–0 Europa LINCOLN RED IMPS FC WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Lincoln Red Imps FC win~~57%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.281

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Lincoln Red Imps FC win57%

Draw24%

Europa win19%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:30

Venue · Victoria Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lincoln red imps fc winPublished 10 Oct 17:54

57% The market–

Us57%

We make Lincoln Red Imps FC a 57% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lincoln Red Imps FC win	57%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Europa win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	44%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Lincoln Red Imps FC or draw	81%	–	–
Lincoln Red Imps FC clean sheet	45%	–	–
Europa clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 14.0%

0123450 9.2 7.0 2.8 1 14.0 10.2 4.5 2 11.0 8.6 3.8 3 6.2 4.9 2.2 4 2.8 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lincoln Red Imps FC down, Europa across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 631 Premier Division matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

14 previous meetings, 2.86 goals a meeting; 8 of 14 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Lincoln Red Imps FC at home: 2.67 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). Europa away: 1.83 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.68 goals for Lincoln Red Imps FC, 0.84 for Europa. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

14 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.86

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 14

~~Both scored~~7 of 14

~~Last meetings~~LIN 2–0 EUR · EUR 0–0 LIN · LIN 3–1 EUR · EUR 0–4 LIN

Form · last six in Premier Division

LINCOLN RED IMPS FC

DWWWWD1–1 · 2–0 · 4–1 · 2–0 · 4–0 · 1–1

EUROPA

WDWDLL4–1 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 0–3 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Magpies	5	+7	11
2	St Joseph S Fc	3	+10	9
3	Lincoln Red Imps FC	3	+6	7
4	Mons Calpe	4	+2	7
5	Glacis United	5	+1	7
6	Lions Gibraltar	5	−1	7
7	Europa Point	5	−3	7
8	Europa	5	−2	5
9	College 1975	4	0	4
10	Hound Dogs	4	−9	1
11	Lynx	5	−11	1