Glacis United v Magpies prediction · Premier Division

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Magpies are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Glacis United 19%, draw 20%, Magpies 62%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Glacis United v MagpiesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Glacis United win19%

Draw20%

Magpies win62%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 18:30

RoundMatchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Glacis United

Magpies

13Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · Premier Division (Gibraltar)

Last match: 16 Oct · Premier Division (Gibraltar)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Magpies	6	+12	14
4	Glacis United	6	+5	10

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · magpies winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

62% The market–

Us62%

We make Magpies a 62% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–2.2, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Glacis United v Magpies~~1.05 – 2.17

~~Form · Premier Division this season · since 22 Aug~~W3 D1 L2 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 10 v 14~~4 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Glacis United win	19%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Magpies win	62%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	61%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Glacis United or draw	38%	–	–
Glacis United clean sheet	13%	–	–
Magpies clean sheet	36%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 9.3%

0123450 4.5 9.3 9.3 6.6 3.7 1 4.8 8.7 9.1 6.5 3.6 2 2.4 4.7 4.8 3.4 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Glacis United down, Magpies across0–5 goals a side shown (96.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 640 Premier Division matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.6% of games this season, across 33 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.90 goals a meeting; 8 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Glacis United at home: 0.83 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 6). Magpies away: 1.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.05 goals for Glacis United, 2.17 for Magpies. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.90

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~MAG 3–1 GLA · GLA 0–1 MAG · GLA 0–5 MAG · MAG 3–1 GLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier Division this season · since 22 Aug

GLACIS UNITED

DLLWWW2–2 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 4–0 · 4–0

MAGPIES

DWDWWW1–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 4–0 · 3–2 · 6–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	St Joseph S Fc	5	+20	15
2	Magpies	6	+12	14
3	Lincoln Red Imps FC	5	+9	13
4	Glacis United	6	+5	10
5	Mons Calpe	5	+3	10
6	Europa Point	7	−1	10
7	Europa	7	−2	8
8	Lions Gibraltar	6	−3	7
9	College 1975	5	−7	4
10	Lynx	8	−15	1
11	Hound Dogs	6	−21	1