Glacis United v Hound Dogs prediction · Premier Division

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 00:00

Glacis United 4–0 Hound Dogs GLACIS UNITED WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Glacis United win~~61%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.222

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Glacis United win61%

Draw20%

Hound Dogs win19%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 18:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Glacis United

Hound Dogs

21Days since last match22

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Glacis United	5	+1	7
10	Hound Dogs	4	−9	1

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · glacis united winPublished 11 Oct 23:32

61% The market–

Us61%

We make Glacis United a 61% chance to win. The model expects 2.1–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Glacis United win	61%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Hound Dogs win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	59%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
Glacis United or draw	81%	–	–
Glacis United clean sheet	40%	–	–
Hound Dogs clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 10.2%

0123450 5.2 4.9 2.5 1 10.2 8.6 4.6 2 9.9 8.6 4.5 3 7.0 5.8 3.0 4 4.0 3.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Glacis United down, Hound Dogs across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 633 Premier Division matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

2 previous meetings, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Glacis United at home: 0.33 scored, 2.67 conceded a game (last 6). Hound Dogs away: 0.50 scored, 4.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.12 goals for Glacis United, 1.00 for Hound Dogs. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~HOU 1–1 GLA · GLA 0–0 HOU

Form · last six in Premier Division

GLACIS UNITED

LDLLWW0–2 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 4–0

HOUND DOGS

LLDLLL0–3 · 1–5 · 1–1 · 1–5 · 0–4 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	St Joseph S Fc	4	+12	12
2	Magpies	5	+7	11
3	Lincoln Red Imps FC	4	+8	10
4	Mons Calpe	4	+2	7
5	Glacis United	5	+1	7
6	Lions Gibraltar	6	−3	7
7	Europa Point	5	−3	7
8	Europa	6	−4	5
9	College 1975	4	0	4
10	Hound Dogs	4	−9	1
11	Lynx	5	−11	1