Europa Point v College 1975 prediction · Premier Division

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 21:47

Europa Point 7–0 College 1975 EUROPA POINT WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Europa Point win~~40%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.545

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Europa Point win40%

Draw23%

College 1975 win37%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 15:30

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Europa Point

College 1975

22Days since last match23

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Europa Point	5	−3	7
9	College 1975	4	0	4

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · europa point winPublished 11 Oct 17:22

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Europa Point a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Europa Point win	40%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
College 1975 win	37%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Europa Point or draw	63%	–	–
Europa Point clean sheet	23%	–	–
College 1975 clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.9%

0123450 4.6 7.1 5.1 2.7 1 7.4 9.9 7.6 4.0 2 5.6 7.9 5.9 3.1 3 3.1 4.3 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Europa Point down, College 1975 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 633 Premier Division matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Premier Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.8% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

12 previous meetings, 3.42 goals a meeting; 8 of 12 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Europa Point at home: 1.00 scored, 2.67 conceded a game (last 6). College 1975 away: 0.83 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.63 goals for Europa Point, 1.55 for College 1975. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

12 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.42

~~Over 2.5~~8 of 12

~~Both scored~~6 of 12

~~Last meetings~~COL 3–4 EUR · EUR 1–0 COL · EUR 0–2 COL · COL 0–0 EUR

Form · last six in Premier Division

EUROPA POINT

LDLLWW0–7 · 2–2 · 0–2 · 0–4 · 4–2 · 2–1

COLLEGE 1975

DLDLWL1–1 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	St Joseph S Fc	4	+12	12
2	Magpies	5	+7	11
3	Lincoln Red Imps FC	4	+8	10
4	Mons Calpe	4	+2	7
5	Glacis United	5	+1	7
6	Lions Gibraltar	6	−3	7
7	Europa Point	5	−3	7
8	Europa	6	−4	5
9	College 1975	4	0	4
10	Hound Dogs	4	−9	1
11	Lynx	5	−11	1