College 1975 v Glacis United prediction · Premier Division

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

College 1975DrawGlacis United

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 20:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Glacis United 53%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Glacis United are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: College 1975 25%, draw 22%, Glacis United 53%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on College 1975 v Glacis UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

College 1975 win25%

Draw22%

Glacis United win53%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 20:00

RoundMatchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

College 1975

Glacis United

17Days since last match4

Last match: 11 Oct · Premier Division (Gibraltar)

Last match: 24 Oct · Premier Division (Gibraltar)

0Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Glacis United	6	+5	10
9	College 1975	5	−7	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · glacis united winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 01:22 · locked at kick-off

53% The market–

Us53%

We make Glacis United a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · College 1975 v Glacis United~~1.14 – 1.84

~~Form · last six in Premier Division this season · since 21 Aug~~W1 D1 L3 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 4 v 10~~9 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Glacis United win

Published at 55%, 53% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
College 1975 win	25%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Glacis United win	53%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	78%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
College 1975 or draw	47%	–	–
College 1975 clean sheet	18%	–	–
Glacis United clean sheet	34%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%

0123450 5.7 9.9 8.4 5.2 2.6 1 6.4 10.0 8.7 5.3 2.6 2 3.6 5.9 5.0 3.0 3 2.4 2.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+College 1975 down, Glacis United across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 642 Premier Division matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier Division matches have gone over 2.5 in 62.9% of games this season, across 35 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.80 goals a meeting; 1 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

College 1975 at home: 1.17 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Glacis United away: 1.33 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.14 goals for College 1975, 1.84 for Glacis United. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.80

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 10

~~Both scored~~3 of 10

~~Last meetings~~COL 0–2 GLA · GLA 1–1 COL · COL 0–1 GLA · GLA 2–3 COL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier Division this season · since 21 Aug

COLLEGE 1975

DLWLL1–1 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 2–3 · 0–7

GLACIS UNITED

LLWWWL0–2 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 4–0 · 4–0 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	St Joseph S Fc	5	+20	15
2	Magpies	6	+12	14
3	Lincoln Red Imps FC	5	+9	13
4	Mons Calpe	6	+7	13
5	Glacis United	6	+5	10
6	Europa Point	7	−1	10
7	Europa	7	−2	8
8	Lions Gibraltar	6	−3	7
9	College 1975	5	−7	4
10	Lynx	8	−15	1
11	Hound Dogs	7	−25	1