Young Apostles v Swedru All Blacks prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Young ApostlesDrawSwedru All Blacks

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Young Apostles 49%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Young Apostles are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Young Apostles 49%, draw 28%, Swedru All Blacks 23%. Over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 35%.

The AI’s read on Young Apostles v Swedru All BlacksBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Young Apostles win49%

Draw28%

Swedru All Blacks win23%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 8

VenueWenchi Sports Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Young Apostles

Swedru All Blacks

7Days since last match7

Last match: 18 Oct · Premier League (Ghana)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Swedru All Blacks	7	+2	11
16	Young Apostles	7	−7	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · young apostles winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make Young Apostles a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–0.7, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 19%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Young Apostles v Swedru All Blacks~~1.20 – 0.72

~~Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 13 Sept~~W2 D0 L4 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 6 v 11~~16 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Young Apostles win	49%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Swedru All Blacks win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	30%	–	–
Both teams to score	35%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	56%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	13%	–	–
Young Apostles or draw	77%	–	–
Young Apostles clean sheet	49%	–	–
Swedru All Blacks clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 18.6%

0123450 13.7 11.7 3.8 1 18.6 11.4 4.5 2 10.5 7.5 2.7 3 4.3 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Young Apostles down, Swedru All Blacks across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,575 Premier League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 39.1% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 0.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Young Apostles at home: 1.50 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Swedru All Blacks away: 0.83 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.20 goals for Young Apostles, 0.72 for Swedru All Blacks. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~0.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~0 of 2

~~Last meetings~~YOU 1–0 SWE · SWE 0–0 YOU

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Premier League this season · since 13 Sept

YOUNG APOSTLES

WLLLWL1–0 · 0–3 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 1–2

SWEDRU ALL BLACKS

WDDLWW1–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hearts of Oak	8	+7	17
2	Medeama	7	+6	14
3	Samartex	7	+4	14
4	Aduana Stars	7	+3	13
5	Basake Holy Stars	8	−3	12
6	Port City	7	+3	11
7	Swedru All Blacks	7	+2	11
8	Asante Kotoko	7	0	11
9	Berekum Chelsea	7	+1	10
10	Ashanti Gold	7	+1	10
11	Bechem United	7	−1	10
12	Karela	7	−2	9
13	Heart of Lions	7	−3	8
14	Debibi United	7	−2	7
15	Bibiani Gold Stars	7	−2	7
16	Young Apostles	7	−7	6
17	Vision	7	−2	6
18	Dreams	7	−5	3