Swedru All Blacks v Karela prediction · Premier League

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 18:32

Swedru All Blacks 2–0 Karela SWEDRU ALL BLACKS WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Swedru All Blacks win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.328

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Swedru All Blacks are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Swedru All Blacks 54%, draw 28%, Karela 19%. Over 2.5 goals 30%, both teams to score 32%.

The AI’s read on Swedru All Blacks v KarelaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Swedru All Blacks win54%

Draw28%

Karela win19%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 7

VenueSwedru Stadium

Line-ups

Swedru All Blacks

Karela

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Swedru All Blacks

Karela

8Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Premier League (Ghana)

Last match: 11 Oct · Premier League (Ghana)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Karela	6	0	9
11	Swedru All Blacks	6	0	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Swedru All Blacks

Formation not confirmed

16 M. Appiah

6 C. Tutu

23 L. Blessing

3 R. Leveh

39 M. Abrokwa

24 D. Sowah

18 J. Andoh

32 E. W. Darkwah

45 W. Danquah

17 M. Salis

37 F. Charwetey

Coach · –

Substitutes

7 · K. Asuandzie

1 · D. Kofi

14 · P. Arthur

9 · A. Quainoo

35 · G. Yartey

13 · B. Stephen

42 · S. O. Akoto

5 · Z. Bubakari

28 · V. Baah

Karela

Formation not confirmed

12 A. Ganiu

2 F. Mohammed

3 F. Gariba

4 M. Abubakar

11 E. Antwi Konadu

13 M. Abubakar

14 M. Zaidan

20 J. Bekoe

24 E. Afurapoe

30 A. Ali

40 J. Yussif

Coach · Nurudeen Amadu

Substitutes

5 · F. Ackom

6 · J. Quansah

9 · F. Mortu

10 · J. Wisdom

16 · D. Afadzwu

25 · B. Abdul

41 · N. Mahfuz

50 · A. Zakari

Our number · swedru all blacks winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

54% The market–

Us54%

We make Swedru All Blacks a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.6, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 20%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Swedru All Blacks v Karela~~1.28 – 0.62

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 6 Sept~~W2 D2 L2 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 8 v 9~~11 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Swedru All Blacks win	54%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Karela win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	30%	–	–
Both teams to score	32%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	55%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	13%	–	–
Swedru All Blacks or draw	81%	–	–
Swedru All Blacks clean sheet	54%	–	–
Karela clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 20.1%

0123450 14.3 10.3 2.9 1 20.1 10.7 3.6 2 12.2 7.4 2.3 3 5.3 3.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Swedru All Blacks down, Karela across0–5 goals a side shown (99.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,567 Premier League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.1% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 0 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Swedru All Blacks at home: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Karela away: 0.33 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.28 goals for Swedru All Blacks, 0.62 for Karela. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~KAR 1–0 SWE · SWE 1–1 KAR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 6 Sept

SWEDRU ALL BLACKS

LWDDLW0–1 · 1–0 · 0–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–0

KARELA

LWLWLW1–3 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Medeama	6	+7	14
2	Hearts of Oak	7	+6	14
3	Samartex	6	+3	11
4	Port City	6	+3	10
5	Ashanti Gold	6	+2	10
6	Aduana Stars	6	+2	10
7	Berekum Chelsea	7	+1	10
8	Bechem United	6	0	10
9	Karela	6	0	9
10	Basake Holy Stars	6	−3	9
11	Swedru All Blacks	6	0	8
12	Asante Kotoko	6	−1	8
13	Heart of Lions	7	−3	8
14	Bibiani Gold Stars	6	−1	7
15	Young Apostles	6	−6	6
16	Vision	7	−2	6
17	Debibi United	6	−3	4
18	Dreams	6	−5	2